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Draw Challenges
2026 Madrid Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (319 participants)
Champion
1J Sinner 268 84.5%
2A Zverev 14 4.4%
7D Medvedev 5 1.6%
14V Vacherot 5 1.6%
4:
12C Ruud
3:
23J Mensik
27J Fonseca
2:
S Tsitsipas
M Berrettini
21A Fils
1:
PZhang ZZ
3F Auger-Aliassime
10F Cobolli
6L Musetti
16F Cerundolo
8A Bublik
WM Landaluce
WR Jodar
4B Shelton
Winner of Top Half
1J Sinner 296 92.8%
14V Vacherot 7 2.2%
27J Fonseca 5 1.6%
3:
WR Jodar
2:
M Berrettini
21A Fils
1:
PZhang ZZ
6L Musetti
4B Shelton
11J Lehecka
Winner of Bottom Half
2A Zverev 196 61.4%
12C Ruud 27 8.5%
7D Medvedev 27 8.5%
3F Auger-Aliassime 21 6.6%
23J Mensik 13 4.1%
10F Cobolli 11 3.4%
17L Tien 6 1.9%
16F Cerundolo 5 1.6%
4:
S Tsitsipas
3:
8A Bublik
WM Landaluce
2:
13K Khachanov
1:
G Dimitrov
Finalists
1J Sinner VS          2A Zverev 191 59.9%
1J Sinner VS          7D Medvedev 26 8.2%
1J Sinner VS          12C Ruud 24 7.5%
1J Sinner VS          3F Auger-Aliassime 21 6.6%
1J Sinner VS          10F Cobolli 9 2.8%
1J Sinner VS          23J Mensik 6 1.9%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
1J Sinner VS 16F Cerundolo
1J Sinner VS S Tsitsipas
1J Sinner VS 17L Tien
3:
1J Sinner VS 8A Bublik
27J Fonseca VS 12C Ruud
14V Vacherot VS 2A Zverev
2:
1J Sinner VS WM Landaluce
1J Sinner VS 13K Khachanov
1:
PZhang ZZ VS 23J Mensik
14V Vacherot VS 10F Cobolli
6L Musetti VS 23J Mensik
WR Jodar VS 16F Cerundolo
14V Vacherot VS 7D Medvedev
WR Jodar VS 2A Zverev
14V Vacherot VS 17L Tien
14V Vacherot VS 23J Mensik
M Berrettini VS G Dimitrov
M Berrettini VS 23J Mensik
27J Fonseca VS WM Landaluce
WR Jodar VS 23J Mensik
21A Fils VS 23J Mensik
4B Shelton VS 17L Tien
11J Lehecka VS 23J Mensik
21A Fils VS 10F Cobolli
27J Fonseca VS 2A Zverev
Winner of 1st Quarter
1J Sinner 304 95.3%
27J Fonseca 7 2.2%
4:
WR Jodar
1:
PZhang ZZ
9A Rublev
R Bautista Agut
15T Paul
Winner of 2nd Quarter
21A Fils 103 32.3%
4B Shelton 100 31.3%
6L Musetti 52 16.3%
14V Vacherot 46 14.4%
11J Lehecka 7 2.2%
3:
H Hurkacz
25TM Etcheverry
M Berrettini
1:
29T Griekspoor
JL Struff
Winner of 3rd Quarter
3F Auger-Aliassime 143 44.8%
12C Ruud 102 32.0%
16F Cerundolo 36 11.3%
8A Bublik 20 6.3%
20A Davidovich Fokina 7 2.2%
S Tsitsipas 6 1.9%
2:
A Blockx
18L Darderi
1:
LC Garin
Winner of 4th Quarter
2A Zverev 232 72.7%
7D Medvedev 31 9.7%
17L Tien 17 5.3%
10F Cobolli 16 5.0%
23J Mensik 15 4.7%
3:
13K Khachanov
WM Landaluce
1:
G Dimitrov
T Atmane
Winner of Section 1
1J Sinner 315 98.7%
1:
R Bautista Agut
WF Cina
19C Norrie
15T Paul
Winner of Section 2
9A Rublev 102 32.0%
27J Fonseca 98 30.7%
5A de Minaur 84 26.3%
WR Jodar 29 9.1%
2:
PZhang ZZ
22A Rinderknech
Z Bergs
Winner of Section 3
4B Shelton 137 42.9%
21A Fils 114 35.7%
14V Vacherot 57 17.9%
25TM Etcheverry 6 1.9%
4:
M Berrettini
1:
I Buse
Winner of Section 4
6L Musetti 146 45.8%
11J Lehecka 96 30.1%
29T Griekspoor 40 12.5%
H Hurkacz 27 8.5%
33A Michelsen 7 2.2%
2:
A Tabilo
1:
JL Struff
Winner of Section 5
12C Ruud 228 71.5%
8A Bublik 47 14.7%
20A Davidovich Fokina 27 8.5%
S Tsitsipas 11 3.4%
3:
QD Merida
2:
LM Trungelliti
1:
WP Carreno Busta
Winner of Section 6
3F Auger-Aliassime 218 68.3%
16F Cerundolo 86 27.0%
18L Darderi 7 2.2%
3:
A Blockx
2:
M Giron
1:
LC Garin
S Baez
28B Nakashima
Winner of Section 7
10F Cobolli 121 37.9%
7D Medvedev 94 29.5%
17L Tien 92 28.8%
F Marozsan 5 1.6%
3:
31D Shapovalov
2:
G Dimitrov
QN Budkov Kjaer
Winner of Section 8
2A Zverev 281 88.1%
23J Mensik 27 8.5%
13K Khachanov 6 1.9%
3:
WM Landaluce
1:
30U Humbert
T Atmane