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Draw Challenges
2026 Indian Wells Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (537 participants)
Champion
C Alcaraz [1] 346 64.7%
J Sinner [2] 120 22.4%
N Djokovic [3] 30 5.6%
A Zverev [4] 9 1.7%
J Mensik [12] 7 1.3%
3:
A Bublik [10]
A de Minaur [6]
D Medvedev [11]
2:
L Tien [25]
J Draper [14]
T Fritz [7]
1:
A Rublev [17]
J Fonseca
S Tsitsipas
A Fils [30]
L Musetti [5]
Shimabukuro S [Q]
V Vacherot [24]
T Paul [23]
Winner of Top Half
C Alcaraz [1] 455 84.9%
N Djokovic [3] 47 8.8%
D Medvedev [11] 9 1.7%
A de Minaur [6] 6 1.1%
T Fritz [7] 6 1.1%
4:
J Draper [14]
A Bublik [10]
2:
V Vacherot [24]
1:
B van de Zandschulp
Shimabukuro S [Q]
J Lehecka [22]
Winner of Bottom Half
J Sinner [2] 424 79.3%
A Zverev [4] 32 6.0%
J Mensik [12] 26 4.9%
F Auger-Aliassime [9] 11 2.1%
A Rublev [17] 8 1.5%
L Musetti [5] 6 1.1%
A Fils [30] 6 1.1%
L Tien [25] 5 0.9%
F Cobolli [15] 5 0.9%
T Paul [23] 5 0.9%
1:
J Fonseca
B Shelton [8]
S Tsitsipas
K Khachanov [16]
Z Bergs
R Collignon
M Kecmanovic
Finalists
C Alcaraz [1] VS     J Sinner [2] 380 71.0%
N Djokovic [3] VS     J Sinner [2] 31 5.8%
C Alcaraz [1] VS     A Zverev [4] 24 4.5%
C Alcaraz [1] VS     J Mensik [12] 17 3.2%
C Alcaraz [1] VS     F Auger-Aliassime [9] 9 1.7%
D Medvedev [11] VS     J Sinner [2] 5 0.9%
C Alcaraz [1] VS     L Musetti [5] 5 0.9%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
C Alcaraz [1] VS F Cobolli [15]
C Alcaraz [1] VS T Paul [23]
N Djokovic [3] VS J Mensik [12]
C Alcaraz [1] VS A Rublev [17]
3:
N Djokovic [3] VS A Rublev [17]
C Alcaraz [1] VS A Fils [30]
N Djokovic [3] VS A Zverev [4]
T Fritz [7] VS J Sinner [2]
2:
C Alcaraz [1] VS L Tien [25]
A de Minaur [6] VS J Sinner [2]
1:
D Medvedev [11] VS A Rublev [17]
C Alcaraz [1] VS J Fonseca
J Draper [14] VS J Mensik [12]
C Alcaraz [1] VS B Shelton [8]
V Vacherot [24] VS J Sinner [2]
T Fritz [7] VS S Tsitsipas
A Bublik [10] VS J Sinner [2]
J Draper [14] VS A Zverev [4]
A Bublik [10] VS A Zverev [4]
D Medvedev [11] VS A Zverev [4]
A de Minaur [6] VS L Tien [25]
A de Minaur [6] VS J Mensik [12]
J Draper [14] VS J Sinner [2]
N Djokovic [3] VS K Khachanov [16]
D Medvedev [11] VS J Mensik [12]
A de Minaur [6] VS A Zverev [4]
T Fritz [7] VS J Mensik [12]
J Draper [14] VS Z Bergs
B van de Zandschulp VS L Musetti [5]
Shimabukuro S [Q] VS R Collignon
A Bublik [10] VS F Auger-Aliassime [9]
N Djokovic [3] VS A Fils [30]
J Lehecka [22] VS J Mensik [12]
N Djokovic [3] VS T Paul [23]
D Medvedev [11] VS L Tien [25]
N Djokovic [3] VS F Cobolli [15]
N Djokovic [3] VS M Kecmanovic
N Djokovic [3] VS L Tien [25]
V Vacherot [24] VS A Fils [30]
A de Minaur [6] VS F Auger-Aliassime [9]
T Fritz [7] VS A Zverev [4]
A Bublik [10] VS A Fils [30]
Winner of 1st Quarter
C Alcaraz [1] 507 94.6%
A de Minaur [6] 10 1.9%
A Bublik [10] 10 1.9%
V Vacherot [24] 6 1.1%
1:
L Darderi [20]
B van de Zandschulp
Shimabukuro S [Q]
Winner of 2nd Quarter
N Djokovic [3] 383 71.5%
D Medvedev [11] 64 11.9%
T Fritz [7] 39 7.3%
J Draper [14] 24 4.5%
F Cerundolo [19] 9 1.7%
H Hurkacz 5 0.9%
J Lehecka [22] 5 0.9%
4:
U Humbert [32]
2:
S Baez
1:
R Jodar [W]
Winner of 3rd Quarter
A Zverev [4] 280 52.3%
L Musetti [5] 78 14.6%
F Auger-Aliassime [9] 69 12.9%
A Rublev [17] 41 7.7%
A Fils [30] 39 7.3%
F Cobolli [15] 23 4.3%
1:
J Brooksby
M Damm [W]
M Berrettini
D Altmaier
M Kecmanovic
Winner of 4th Quarter
J Sinner [2] 462 86.2%
J Mensik [12] 41 7.6%
L Tien [25] 11 2.1%
T Paul [23] 8 1.5%
4:
B Shelton [8]
3:
K Khachanov [16]
2:
J Fonseca
S Tsitsipas
1:
Z Bergs
R Collignon
D Shapovalov
Winner of Section 1
C Alcaraz [1] 521 97.2%
V Vacherot [24] 9 1.7%
2:
G Dimitrov
1:
A Rinderknech [26]
C Ruud [13]
B van de Zandschulp
Shimabukuro S [Q]
Winner of Section 2
A de Minaur [6] 381 71.2%
A Bublik [10] 130 24.3%
S Korda 10 1.9%
C Norrie [27] 5 0.9%
L Darderi [20] 5 0.9%
2:
M Zheng [W]
1:
F Comesana
M Arnaldi
Winner of Section 3
N Djokovic [3] 458 85.4%
J Draper [14] 40 7.5%
F Cerundolo [19] 23 4.3%
H Hurkacz 10 1.9%
4:
V Royer
1:
C Moutet [31]
Winner of Section 4
T Fritz [7] 290 54.1%
D Medvedev [11] 198 36.9%
U Humbert [32] 22 4.1%
J Lehecka [22] 17 3.2%
3:
S Baez
2:
A Michelsen
R Jodar [W]
1:
A Tabilo
Tseng CH [Q]
Winner of Section 5
L Musetti [5] 155 29.0%
A Rublev [17] 153 28.6%
F Auger-Aliassime [9] 147 27.5%
A Fils [30] 78 14.6%
1:
M Fucsovics
D Prizmic [Q]
Winner of Section 6
A Zverev [4] 449 83.8%
F Cobolli [15] 61 11.4%
M Kecmanovic 7 1.3%
F Tiafoe [21] 6 1.1%
M Berrettini 5 0.9%
2:
J Brooksby
B Nakashima [28]
1:
A Mannarino
M Damm [W]
D Altmaier
A Popyrin
Winner of Section 7
L Tien [25] 168 31.3%
J Mensik [12] 157 29.3%
A Davidovich Fokina [18] 103 19.2%
B Shelton [8] 103 19.2%
4:
M Cilic
1:
E Quinn
Winner of Section 8
J Sinner [2] 505 94.2%
T Paul [23] 16 3.0%
K Khachanov [16] 5 0.9%
3:
J Fonseca
D Shapovalov
2:
S Tsitsipas
1:
Z Bergs
R Collignon