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Draw Challenges
2026 Australian Open Women's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (2509 participants)
Champion
A Sabalenka [1] 958 38.3%
E Rybakina [5] 641 25.7%
A Anisimova [4] 214 8.6%
I Swiatek [2] 164 6.6%
B Bencic [10] 132 5.3%
C Gauff [3] 132 5.3%
J Pegula [6] 62 2.5%
M Andreeva [8] 51 2.0%
B Krejcikova 45 1.8%
Osaka N [16] 18 0.7%
K Muchova [19] 17 0.7%
Wang XY 13 0.5%
Zhang S 6 0.2%
4:
L Noskova [13]
K Pliskova
V Mboko [17]
E Raducanu [28]
3:
E Alexandrova [11]
M Keys [9]
2:
L Samsonova [18]
D Kasatkina
V Williams [W]
Yuan Y [Q]
M Kostyuk [20]
E Svitolina [12]
1:
J Paolini [7]
J Ostapenko [24]
C Tauson [14]
D Vekic
A Kalinskaya [31]
E Mertens [21]
K Siniakova
Sakatsume H [Q]
M Sawangkaew
J Tjen
L Klimovicova [Q]
E Navarro [15]
Winner of Top Half
A Sabalenka [1] 1753 70.1%
C Gauff [3] 400 16.0%
M Andreeva [8] 119 4.8%
B Krejcikova 72 2.9%
K Muchova [19] 68 2.7%
M Kostyuk [20] 15 0.6%
V Mboko [17] 14 0.6%
E Alexandrova [11] 13 0.5%
E Svitolina [12] 10 0.4%
C Tauson [14] 5 0.2%
E Raducanu [28] 5 0.2%
4:
E Navarro [15]
3:
T Townsend [L]
V Williams [W]
2:
J Paolini [7]
Bai ZX [Q]
D Vekic
1:
I Jovic [29]
A Parks
A Eala
K Volynets
A Pavlyuchenkova
Sakatsume H [Q]
M Sawangkaew
G Maristany Zuleta De Reales [Q]
L Klimovicova [Q]
Winner of Bottom Half
E Rybakina [5] 1079 43.2%
A Anisimova [4] 442 17.7%
B Bencic [10] 405 16.2%
I Swiatek [2] 281 11.2%
J Pegula [6] 152 6.1%
Osaka N [16] 38 1.5%
Wang XY 19 0.8%
L Noskova [13] 18 0.7%
M Keys [9] 14 0.6%
Zhang S 10 0.4%
J Ostapenko [24] 8 0.3%
L Samsonova [18] 7 0.3%
4:
Yuan Y [Q]
K Pliskova
E Lys
2:
D Kasatkina
E Mertens [21]
1:
S Kenin [27]
A Kalinskaya [31]
L Siegemund
P Badosa [25]
M Kessler
K Siniakova
M Inglis [Q]
N Bartunkova [Q]
J Tjen
D Semenistaja
Finalists
A Sabalenka [1] VS     E Rybakina [5] 791 31.7%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     A Anisimova [4] 322 12.9%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     B Bencic [10] 282 11.3%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     I Swiatek [2] 198 7.9%
C Gauff [3] VS     E Rybakina [5] 177 7.1%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     J Pegula [6] 91 3.6%
C Gauff [3] VS     A Anisimova [4] 72 2.9%
C Gauff [3] VS     B Bencic [10] 64 2.6%
M Andreeva [8] VS     E Rybakina [5] 40 1.6%
C Gauff [3] VS     I Swiatek [2] 35 1.4%
B Krejcikova VS     E Rybakina [5] 33 1.3%
C Gauff [3] VS     J Pegula [6] 32 1.3%
M Andreeva [8] VS     B Bencic [10] 26 1.0%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     Osaka N [16] 25 1.0%
M Andreeva [8] VS     A Anisimova [4] 24 1.0%
K Muchova [19] VS     E Rybakina [5] 21 0.8%
K Muchova [19] VS     I Swiatek [2] 14 0.6%
K Muchova [19] VS     B Bencic [10] 14 0.6%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     M Keys [9] 13 0.5%
M Andreeva [8] VS     I Swiatek [2] 12 0.5%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     L Noskova [13] 11 0.4%
B Krejcikova VS     J Pegula [6] 9 0.4%
K Muchova [19] VS     A Anisimova [4] 8 0.3%
B Krejcikova VS     B Bencic [10] 7 0.3%
M Andreeva [8] VS     J Pegula [6] 7 0.3%
V Mboko [17] VS     I Swiatek [2] 6 0.2%
B Krejcikova VS     I Swiatek [2] 6 0.2%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     Wang XY 6 0.2%
M Kostyuk [20] VS     I Swiatek [2] 5 0.2%
B Krejcikova VS     A Anisimova [4] 5 0.2%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     L Samsonova [18] 5 0.2%
C Gauff [3] VS     Osaka N [16] 5 0.2%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
C Tauson [14] VS E Rybakina [5]
K Muchova [19] VS J Pegula [6]
C Gauff [3] VS Zhang S
B Krejcikova VS Wang XY
A Sabalenka [1] VS Zhang S
C Gauff [3] VS Wang XY
3:
M Kostyuk [20] VS A Anisimova [4]
C Gauff [3] VS J Ostapenko [24]
E Svitolina [12] VS E Rybakina [5]
A Sabalenka [1] VS J Ostapenko [24]
E Alexandrova [11] VS J Pegula [6]
E Alexandrova [11] VS E Rybakina [5]
E Svitolina [12] VS I Swiatek [2]
B Krejcikova VS Osaka N [16]
M Kostyuk [20] VS B Bencic [10]
2:
E Navarro [15] VS J Pegula [6]
V Mboko [17] VS A Anisimova [4]
J Paolini [7] VS Osaka N [16]
E Alexandrova [11] VS I Swiatek [2]
C Gauff [3] VS L Noskova [13]
K Muchova [19] VS Yuan Y [Q]
V Mboko [17] VS E Rybakina [5]
M Andreeva [8] VS K Pliskova
M Andreeva [8] VS L Samsonova [18]
E Alexandrova [11] VS B Bencic [10]
E Raducanu [28] VS A Anisimova [4]
K Muchova [19] VS E Lys
E Svitolina [12] VS B Bencic [10]
E Navarro [15] VS E Rybakina [5]
1:
B Krejcikova VS S Kenin [27]
E Svitolina [12] VS J Pegula [6]
Bai ZX [Q] VS Wang XY
V Mboko [17] VS J Pegula [6]
I Jovic [29] VS J Pegula [6]
K Muchova [19] VS Wang XY
T Townsend [L] VS B Bencic [10]
V Mboko [17] VS B Bencic [10]
V Mboko [17] VS M Keys [9]
C Gauff [3] VS D Kasatkina
V Mboko [17] VS L Noskova [13]
E Alexandrova [11] VS Osaka N [16]
K Muchova [19] VS L Noskova [13]
A Parks VS A Anisimova [4]
E Raducanu [28] VS Wang XY
T Townsend [L] VS A Anisimova [4]
B Krejcikova VS J Ostapenko [24]
V Williams [W] VS Wang XY
E Alexandrova [11] VS A Anisimova [4]
E Alexandrova [11] VS Wang XY
E Raducanu [28] VS E Rybakina [5]
M Andreeva [8] VS J Ostapenko [24]
A Sabalenka [1] VS E Lys
D Vekic VS E Rybakina [5]
D Vekic VS B Bencic [10]
C Gauff [3] VS A Kalinskaya [31]
A Eala VS B Bencic [10]
K Muchova [19] VS K Pliskova
E Raducanu [28] VS B Bencic [10]
K Volynets VS E Mertens [21]
B Krejcikova VS L Noskova [13]
M Andreeva [8] VS D Kasatkina
M Andreeva [8] VS E Lys
A Pavlyuchenkova VS A Anisimova [4]
M Kostyuk [20] VS E Mertens [21]
V Williams [W] VS L Siegemund
A Sabalenka [1] VS P Badosa [25]
M Kostyuk [20] VS Yuan Y [Q]
B Krejcikova VS Yuan Y [Q]
M Andreeva [8] VS L Noskova [13]
M Andreeva [8] VS Zhang S
T Townsend [L] VS E Rybakina [5]
B Krejcikova VS M Kessler
C Tauson [14] VS K Siniakova
M Andreeva [8] VS Osaka N [16]
M Kostyuk [20] VS J Pegula [6]
Bai ZX [Q] VS Zhang S
Sakatsume H [Q] VS M Inglis [Q]
M Sawangkaew VS N Bartunkova [Q]
G Maristany Zuleta De Reales [Q] VS J Tjen
L Klimovicova [Q] VS D Semenistaja
E Svitolina [12] VS Osaka N [16]
V Williams [W] VS K Pliskova
M Kostyuk [20] VS L Noskova [13]
Winner of 1st Quarter
A Sabalenka [1] 2311 92.5%
E Alexandrova [11] 55 2.2%
M Kostyuk [20] 46 1.8%
V Mboko [17] 30 1.2%
C Tauson [14] 21 0.8%
J Paolini [7] 12 0.5%
E Raducanu [28] 9 0.4%
3:
Bai ZX [Q]
A Pavlyuchenkova
1:
I Jovic [29]
P Hon [W]
A Bondar
A Sasnovich [Q]
K Volynets
Sakatsume H [Q]
M Sawangkaew
G Maristany Zuleta De Reales [Q]
M Stakusic [Q]
Winner of 2nd Quarter
C Gauff [3] 1480 59.2%
M Andreeva [8] 431 17.3%
B Krejcikova 228 9.1%
K Muchova [19] 195 7.8%
E Svitolina [12] 98 3.9%
D Shnaider [23] 16 0.6%
T Townsend [L] 12 0.5%
E Navarro [15] 11 0.4%
D Vekic 6 0.2%
D Yastremska [26] 5 0.2%
3:
V Williams [W]
2:
M Sakkari
A Blinkova
A Eala
1:
J Bouzas Maneiro
A Parks
A Tomljanovic
Y Starodubtseva [Q]
S Hunter [Q]
A Li
L Klimovicova [Q]
Winner of 3rd Quarter
A Anisimova [4] 1371 54.9%
J Pegula [6] 707 28.3%
L Noskova [13] 155 6.2%
M Keys [9] 112 4.5%
Wang XY 65 2.6%
Zhang S 23 0.9%
J Ostapenko [24] 15 0.6%
L Fernandez [22] 13 0.5%
P Badosa [25] 9 0.4%
K Pliskova 7 0.3%
4:
S Kenin [27]
3:
S Stephens [Q]
2:
T Maria
Z Diyas [W]
1:
O Oliynykova
T Preston [W]
A Krueger
O Selekhmeteva
M Kessler
K Siniakova
P Udvardy
S Waltert
J Tjen
D Semenistaja
Winner of 4th Quarter
E Rybakina [5] 1320 52.9%
B Bencic [10] 562 22.5%
I Swiatek [2] 481 19.3%
Osaka N [16] 72 2.9%
L Samsonova [18] 22 0.9%
Yuan Y [Q] 11 0.4%
A Kalinskaya [31] 8 0.3%
E Lys 8 0.3%
3:
E Mertens [21]
2:
D Kasatkina
L Siegemund
M Inglis [Q]
1:
T Valentova
S Kartal
N Bartunkova [Q]
L Tararudee [Q]
Winner of Section 1
A Sabalenka [1] 2389 95.3%
V Mboko [17] 49 2.0%
C Tauson [14] 38 1.5%
E Raducanu [28] 11 0.4%
A Pavlyuchenkova 5 0.2%
3:
Bai ZX [Q]
2:
A Potapova
C Mcnally
M Sawangkaew
P Kudermetova
1:
Sakatsume H [Q]
G Maristany Zuleta De Reales [Q]
E Jones [W]
Winner of Section 2
M Kostyuk [20] 1208 48.2%
E Alexandrova [11] 649 25.9%
J Paolini [7] 540 21.6%
I Jovic [29] 80 3.2%
4:
B Haddad Maia
P Hon [W]
M Frech
3:
M Stakusic [Q]
Y Putintseva
2:
Z Sonmez [Q]
K Volynets
A Sasnovich [Q]
1:
A Bondar
E Jacquemot
V Erjavec
E Mandlik [W]
Winner of Section 3
C Gauff [3] 1959 78.2%
K Muchova [19] 395 15.8%
E Navarro [15] 82 3.3%
T Townsend [L] 37 1.5%
A Eala 10 0.4%
J Bouzas Maneiro 7 0.3%
3:
V Williams [W]
2:
A Parks
O Danilovic
M Linette
1:
C Osorio
K Rakhimova
S Hunter [Q]
A Li
H Baptiste
Winner of Section 4
M Andreeva [8] 1583 63.2%
E Svitolina [12] 394 15.7%
B Krejcikova 394 15.7%
D Shnaider [23] 50 2.0%
D Yastremska [26] 30 1.2%
D Vekic 18 0.7%
M Sakkari 12 0.5%
A Blinkova 12 0.5%
2:
L Klimovicova [Q]
A Tomljanovic
L Jeanjean
1:
C Bucsa
Y Starodubtseva [Q]
EG Ruse
F Jones
Winner of Section 5
J Pegula [6] 1777 70.9%
M Keys [9] 534 21.3%
L Fernandez [22] 69 2.8%
P Badosa [25] 68 2.7%
M Kessler 14 0.6%
S Stephens [Q] 11 0.4%
K Pliskova 11 0.4%
4:
A Krueger
O Selekhmeteva
3:
J Tjen
2:
E Seidel
O Oliynykova
S Bejlek
Z Diyas [W]
1:
E Arango
A Zakharova
Winner of Section 6
A Anisimova [4] 1989 79.4%
L Noskova [13] 274 10.9%
Wang XY 107 4.3%
Zhang S 48 1.9%
J Ostapenko [24] 39 1.6%
S Kenin [27] 24 1.0%
T Maria 8 0.3%
4:
K Siniakova
3:
P Stearns
2:
A Kalinina [Q]
1:
R Sramkova
T Preston [W]
P Udvardy
S Waltert
P Marcinko
D Semenistaja
Winner of Section 7
E Rybakina [5] 1621 64.8%
B Bencic [10] 841 33.6%
E Mertens [21] 18 0.7%
D Kasatkina 8 0.3%
4:
T Valentova
2:
K Juvan
1:
M Joint [30]
S Sierra
K Boulter
Uchijima M
N Bartunkova [Q]
L Tararudee [Q]
L Fruhvirtova [Q]
Winner of Section 8
I Swiatek [2] 1716 68.6%
Osaka N [16] 475 19.0%
L Samsonova [18] 104 4.2%
A Kalinskaya [31] 80 3.2%
E Lys 57 2.3%
Yuan Y [Q] 35 1.4%
S Cirstea 12 0.5%
S Kartal 6 0.2%
M Bouzkova 5 0.2%
4:
L Siegemund
3:
E Cocciaretto
2:
M Inglis [Q]
1:
K Birrell
R Zarazua
J Grabher
A Ruzic