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Draw Challenges
2023 Wimbledon Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (1267 participants)
Champion
N Djokovic [2] 1055 83.4%
C Alcaraz [1] 108 8.5%
D Medvedev [3] 21 1.7%
J Sinner [8] 18 1.4%
H Rune [6] 12 0.9%
A Murray 7 0.6%
A Zverev [19] 5 0.4%
Wu YB 5 0.4%
S Wawrinka 5 0.4%
Zhang ZZ 5 0.4%
3:
H Mayot [Q]
C Ruud [4]
B Coric [13]
2:
C Norrie [12]
A Rublev [7]
M Berrettini
H Hurkacz [17]
S Tsitsipas [5]
A Bublik [23]
1:
T Griekspoor [28]
U Humbert
F Tiafoe [10]
Winner of Top Half
C Alcaraz [1] 668 52.9%
H Rune [6] 119 9.4%
D Medvedev [3] 113 9.0%
F Tiafoe [10] 68 5.4%
A Zverev [19] 54 4.3%
A Murray 40 3.2%
S Tsitsipas [5] 36 2.9%
C Norrie [12] 28 2.2%
S Korda [22] 28 2.2%
F Cerundolo [18] 24 1.9%
G Dimitrov [21] 17 1.3%
Zhang ZZ 15 1.2%
Wu YB 13 1.0%
M Berrettini 11 0.9%
T Paul [16] 8 0.6%
4:
T Griekspoor [28]
3:
A Mannarino
M Raonic
A de Minaur [15]
1:
L Djere
U Humbert
D Thiem
T Daniel [L]
Y Watanuki [L]
N Jarry [25]
M Fucsovics
Winner of Bottom Half
N Djokovic [2] 1167 92.3%
J Sinner [8] 49 3.9%
A Rublev [7] 7 0.6%
C Ruud [4] 7 0.6%
B Coric [13] 6 0.5%
H Hurkacz [17] 6 0.5%
T Fritz [9] 5 0.4%
A Bublik [23] 5 0.4%
S Wawrinka 5 0.4%
3:
D Shapovalov [26]
H Mayot [Q]
1:
F Auger-Aliassime [11]
L Musetti [14]
Finalists
C Alcaraz [1] VS     N Djokovic [2] 610 48.3%
H Rune [6] VS     N Djokovic [2] 111 8.8%
D Medvedev [3] VS     N Djokovic [2] 105 8.3%
F Tiafoe [10] VS     N Djokovic [2] 68 5.4%
A Zverev [19] VS     N Djokovic [2] 51 4.0%
S Tsitsipas [5] VS     N Djokovic [2] 35 2.8%
A Murray VS     N Djokovic [2] 33 2.6%
C Alcaraz [1] VS     J Sinner [8] 32 2.5%
S Korda [22] VS     N Djokovic [2] 28 2.2%
C Norrie [12] VS     N Djokovic [2] 24 1.9%
F Cerundolo [18] VS     N Djokovic [2] 23 1.8%
G Dimitrov [21] VS     N Djokovic [2] 16 1.3%
Zhang ZZ VS     N Djokovic [2] 14 1.1%
Wu YB VS     N Djokovic [2] 12 1.0%
M Berrettini VS     N Djokovic [2] 9 0.7%
T Paul [16] VS     N Djokovic [2] 8 0.6%
H Rune [6] VS     J Sinner [8] 6 0.5%
D Medvedev [3] VS     J Sinner [8] 6 0.5%
C Alcaraz [1] VS     A Rublev [7] 5 0.4%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
C Alcaraz [1] VS B Coric [13]
T Griekspoor [28] VS N Djokovic [2]
C Alcaraz [1] VS C Ruud [4]
3:
C Alcaraz [1] VS T Fritz [9]
A Mannarino VS N Djokovic [2]
M Raonic VS N Djokovic [2]
C Alcaraz [1] VS H Hurkacz [17]
C Alcaraz [1] VS S Wawrinka
A de Minaur [15] VS N Djokovic [2]
2:
C Norrie [12] VS C Ruud [4]
C Alcaraz [1] VS D Shapovalov [26]
C Norrie [12] VS J Sinner [8]
A Murray VS S Wawrinka
1:
L Djere VS N Djokovic [2]
A Murray VS J Sinner [8]
H Rune [6] VS A Rublev [7]
A Murray VS D Shapovalov [26]
Wu YB VS H Mayot [Q]
D Medvedev [3] VS A Bublik [23]
M Berrettini VS J Sinner [8]
A Murray VS B Coric [13]
A Murray VS C Ruud [4]
U Humbert VS A Bublik [23]
M Berrettini VS H Hurkacz [17]
F Cerundolo [18] VS A Bublik [23]
S Tsitsipas [5] VS J Sinner [8]
D Thiem VS N Djokovic [2]
T Daniel [L] VS H Mayot [Q]
Y Watanuki [L] VS H Mayot [Q]
A Zverev [19] VS F Auger-Aliassime [11]
Zhang ZZ VS B Coric [13]
N Jarry [25] VS N Djokovic [2]
C Alcaraz [1] VS A Bublik [23]
G Dimitrov [21] VS H Hurkacz [17]
M Fucsovics VS N Djokovic [2]
H Rune [6] VS T Fritz [9]
A Zverev [19] VS H Hurkacz [17]
D Medvedev [3] VS T Fritz [9]
A Zverev [19] VS A Rublev [7]
C Alcaraz [1] VS L Musetti [14]
A Murray VS A Bublik [23]
Winner of 1st Quarter
C Alcaraz [1] 811 64.3%
H Rune [6] 157 12.4%
F Tiafoe [10] 107 8.5%
A Zverev [19] 83 6.6%
G Dimitrov [21] 27 2.1%
M Berrettini 24 1.9%
Zhang ZZ 20 1.6%
Wu YB 15 1.2%
A de Minaur [15] 10 0.8%
2:
A Davidovich Fokina [31]
U Humbert
Y Watanuki [L]
1:
N Jarry [25]
A Popyrin
Winner of 2nd Quarter
D Medvedev [3] 361 28.6%
C Norrie [12] 184 14.6%
S Korda [22] 158 12.5%
F Cerundolo [18] 158 12.5%
S Tsitsipas [5] 156 12.4%
A Murray 121 9.6%
T Paul [16] 44 3.5%
T Griekspoor [28] 22 1.7%
J Lehecka 15 1.2%
M Raonic 14 1.1%
A Mannarino 8 0.6%
M Fucsovics 8 0.6%
3:
B Shelton [32]
2:
C Eubanks
A Shevchenko
1:
L Djere
M Cressy
H Medjedovic [Q]
D Thiem
T Daniel [L]
Winner of 3rd Quarter
J Sinner [8] 706 56.0%
C Ruud [4] 239 19.0%
T Fritz [9] 141 11.2%
B Coric [13] 56 4.4%
D Shapovalov [26] 42 3.3%
R Bautista Agut [20] 41 3.3%
M Kecmanovic 5 0.4%
Y Hanfmann 5 0.4%
4:
D Evans [27]
D Altmaier
3:
C Moutet
H Mayot [Q]
L Harris
2:
Y Nishioka [24]
R Gasquet
1:
DE Galan
L Broady [W]
L Lokoli [Q]
JM Cerundolo
M Ymer
Winner of 4th Quarter
N Djokovic [2] 1214 96.0%
A Rublev [7] 16 1.3%
H Hurkacz [17] 9 0.7%
A Bublik [23] 8 0.6%
F Auger-Aliassime [11] 6 0.5%
S Wawrinka 5 0.4%
3:
L Musetti [14]
1:
F Marozsan [L]
TM Etcheverry [29]
E Ruusuvuori
J Isner
Winner of Section 1
C Alcaraz [1] 1032 81.7%
A Zverev [19] 139 11.0%
A de Minaur [15] 40 3.2%
M Berrettini 35 2.8%
N Jarry [25] 10 0.8%
3:
U Humbert
2:
Y Watanuki [L]
1:
A Rinderknech
M Cecchinato
Winner of Section 2
H Rune [6] 643 51.0%
F Tiafoe [10] 352 27.9%
G Dimitrov [21] 140 11.1%
Zhang ZZ 55 4.4%
Wu YB 45 3.6%
A Davidovich Fokina [31] 12 1.0%
B van de Zandschulp 6 0.5%
A Popyrin 5 0.4%
2:
A Fils [W]
1:
D Stricker [Q]
I Ivashka
Winner of Section 3
D Medvedev [3] 561 44.5%
F Cerundolo [18] 322 25.5%
T Paul [16] 131 10.4%
T Griekspoor [28] 66 5.2%
M Raonic 62 4.9%
A Mannarino 48 3.8%
J Lehecka 37 2.9%
M Fucsovics 28 2.2%
3:
A Shevchenko
2:
S Mochizuki [Q]
1:
D Novak [Q]
Winner of Section 4
S Tsitsipas [5] 361 28.6%
C Norrie [12] 349 27.7%
S Korda [22] 287 22.7%
A Murray 218 17.3%
C Eubanks 14 1.1%
M Cressy 11 0.9%
B Shelton [32] 9 0.7%
J Vesely 5 0.4%
3:
L Djere
D Thiem
1:
H Medjedovic [Q]
T Daniel [L]
Winner of Section 5
J Sinner [8] 961 76.1%
T Fritz [9] 243 19.2%
D Evans [27] 13 1.0%
Y Nishioka [24] 10 0.8%
Y Hanfmann 9 0.7%
M Kecmanovic 8 0.6%
D Altmaier 8 0.6%
4:
M Ymer
3:
JM Cerundolo
2:
D Schwartzman
1:
DE Galan
A Vukic
Winner of Section 6
C Ruud [4] 535 42.4%
D Shapovalov [26] 226 17.9%
B Coric [13] 225 17.8%
R Bautista Agut [20] 218 17.3%
R Gasquet 15 1.2%
C Moutet 11 0.9%
G Barrere 11 0.9%
L Harris 5 0.4%
4:
H Mayot [Q]
L Broady [W]
2:
B Bonzi
G Pella
1:
R Safiullin
C Lestienne
R Albot [Q]
L Lokoli [Q]
Winner of Section 7
A Rublev [7] 735 58.4%
A Bublik [23] 229 18.2%
F Auger-Aliassime [11] 128 10.2%
F Marozsan [L] 111 8.8%
A Karatsev 27 2.1%
D Goffin [W] 11 0.9%
M McDonald 8 0.6%
JJ Wolf 5 0.4%
1:
S Baez
L van Assche
B Gojo
E Couacaud [Q]
Winner of Section 8
N Djokovic [2] 1232 97.4%
H Hurkacz [17] 12 0.9%
S Wawrinka 8 0.6%
L Musetti [14] 7 0.6%
3:
J Isner
1:
TM Etcheverry [29]
E Ruusuvuori
P Cachin