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Draw Challenges
2024 US Open Women's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (2407 participants)
Champion
A Sabalenka [2] 1153 48.1%
Zheng QW [7] 470 19.6%
I Swiatek [1] 291 12.1%
E Rybakina [4] 179 7.5%
J Pegula [6] 34 1.4%
M Andreeva [21] 32 1.3%
N Osaka [W] 23 1.0%
C Gauff [3] 20 0.8%
B Krejcikova [8] 19 0.8%
D Collins [11] 18 0.8%
A Anisimova [W] 17 0.7%
M Keys [14] 15 0.6%
E Raducanu 14 0.6%
J Ostapenko [10] 12 0.5%
P Badosa [26] 10 0.4%
J Paolini [5] 9 0.4%
Wang XinY 8 0.3%
Ka Pliskova 8 0.3%
A Kalinskaya [15] 7 0.3%
Wang XiY 6 0.3%
L Fernandez [23] 5 0.2%
L Noskova 5 0.2%
4:
K Muchova
3:
C Wozniacki
Zhang Shuai
D Vekic [24]
D Shnaider [18]
D Kasatkina [12]
Yuan Yue
2:
M Sakkari [9]
Zheng SS
L Samsonova [16]
V Azarenka [20]
E Svitolina [27]
L Sun
M Bassols Ribera [Q]
1:
EG Ruse [Q]
D Parry
K Siniakova
A Noel [W]
E Navarro [13]
I Jovic [W]
Wang Qiang
Winner of Top Half
I Swiatek [1] 959 40.0%
E Rybakina [4] 505 21.1%
J Pegula [6] 187 7.8%
M Andreeva [21] 134 5.6%
N Osaka [W] 91 3.8%
J Ostapenko [10] 85 3.5%
D Collins [11] 78 3.3%
J Paolini [5] 63 2.6%
A Kalinskaya [15] 47 2.0%
Wang XinY 43 1.8%
D Shnaider [18] 34 1.4%
K Muchova 34 1.4%
L Fernandez [23] 32 1.3%
E Raducanu 30 1.3%
L Noskova 27 1.1%
Ka Pliskova 9 0.4%
L Samsonova [16] 8 0.3%
C Wozniacki 7 0.3%
4:
Zhang Shuai
3:
E Avanesyan
2:
B Andreescu [W]
Zheng SS
A Pavlyuchenkova [25]
1:
M Bouzkova
A Noel [W]
B Fruhvirtova
AK Schmiedlova
T Preston [W]
S Errani
B Haddad Maia [22]
Y Putintseva [30]
J Ponchet [Q]
Wang Qiang
C Garcia [28]
B Pera
Winner of Bottom Half
A Sabalenka [2] 1491 62.2%
Zheng QW [7] 554 23.1%
C Gauff [3] 76 3.2%
A Anisimova [W] 58 2.4%
P Badosa [26] 43 1.8%
B Krejcikova [8] 41 1.7%
M Keys [14] 35 1.5%
D Vekic [24] 22 0.9%
Wang XiY 14 0.6%
E Navarro [13] 11 0.5%
V Azarenka [20] 8 0.3%
M Sakkari [9] 8 0.3%
E Svitolina [27] 8 0.3%
L Sun 7 0.3%
Yuan Yue 5 0.2%
3:
D Kasatkina [12]
2:
K Siniakova
M Bassols Ribera [Q]
1:
EG Ruse [Q]
D Parry
E Alexandrova [29]
Y Starodubtseva [Q]
M Kessler [W]
Wang YF
I Jovic [W]
E Andreeva
Finalists
I Swiatek [1] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 663 27.7%
E Rybakina [4] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 328 13.7%
I Swiatek [1] VS     Zheng QW [7] 166 6.9%
J Pegula [6] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 129 5.4%
E Rybakina [4] VS     Zheng QW [7] 127 5.3%
M Andreeva [21] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 70 2.9%
N Osaka [W] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 55 2.3%
D Collins [11] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 49 2.0%
J Ostapenko [10] VS     Zheng QW [7] 40 1.7%
I Swiatek [1] VS     C Gauff [3] 40 1.7%
M Andreeva [21] VS     Zheng QW [7] 40 1.7%
J Paolini [5] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 39 1.6%
J Pegula [6] VS     Zheng QW [7] 33 1.4%
J Ostapenko [10] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 33 1.4%
A Kalinskaya [15] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 25 1.0%
Wang XinY VS     Zheng QW [7] 25 1.0%
N Osaka [W] VS     Zheng QW [7] 24 1.0%
D Shnaider [18] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 21 0.9%
D Collins [11] VS     Zheng QW [7] 20 0.8%
I Swiatek [1] VS     A Anisimova [W] 19 0.8%
K Muchova VS     A Sabalenka [2] 17 0.7%
L Fernandez [23] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 17 0.7%
I Swiatek [1] VS     B Krejcikova [8] 15 0.6%
E Rybakina [4] VS     C Gauff [3] 14 0.6%
I Swiatek [1] VS     P Badosa [26] 14 0.6%
A Kalinskaya [15] VS     Zheng QW [7] 13 0.5%
J Paolini [5] VS     Zheng QW [7] 13 0.5%
L Noskova VS     A Sabalenka [2] 12 0.5%
I Swiatek [1] VS     M Keys [14] 11 0.5%
E Raducanu VS     Zheng QW [7] 11 0.5%
K Muchova VS     Zheng QW [7] 9 0.4%
E Raducanu VS     A Sabalenka [2] 9 0.4%
I Swiatek [1] VS     E Navarro [13] 9 0.4%
I Swiatek [1] VS     D Vekic [24] 8 0.3%
J Pegula [6] VS     A Anisimova [W] 8 0.3%
E Rybakina [4] VS     A Anisimova [W] 8 0.3%
L Fernandez [23] VS     Zheng QW [7] 8 0.3%
E Rybakina [4] VS     M Keys [14] 8 0.3%
D Shnaider [18] VS     Zheng QW [7] 7 0.3%
E Rybakina [4] VS     P Badosa [26] 7 0.3%
Wang XinY VS     A Sabalenka [2] 6 0.3%
J Pegula [6] VS     P Badosa [26] 6 0.3%
J Paolini [5] VS     C Gauff [3] 6 0.3%
M Andreeva [21] VS     A Anisimova [W] 5 0.2%
Ka Pliskova VS     A Sabalenka [2] 5 0.2%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
J Pegula [6] VS M Keys [14]
M Andreeva [21] VS M Keys [14]
I Swiatek [1] VS M Sakkari [9]
E Rybakina [4] VS B Krejcikova [8]
J Ostapenko [10] VS B Krejcikova [8]
L Samsonova [16] VS A Sabalenka [2]
M Andreeva [21] VS P Badosa [26]
L Noskova VS A Anisimova [W]
3:
M Andreeva [21] VS M Sakkari [9]
N Osaka [W] VS A Anisimova [W]
Wang XinY VS Wang XiY
M Andreeva [21] VS B Krejcikova [8]
Ka Pliskova VS Zheng QW [7]
I Swiatek [1] VS L Sun
J Pegula [6] VS D Vekic [24]
N Osaka [W] VS P Badosa [26]
I Swiatek [1] VS E Svitolina [27]
L Noskova VS Zheng QW [7]
Wang XinY VS Yuan Yue
2:
J Pegula [6] VS C Gauff [3]
E Rybakina [4] VS V Azarenka [20]
C Wozniacki VS A Sabalenka [2]
E Raducanu VS P Badosa [26]
D Collins [11] VS A Anisimova [W]
D Collins [11] VS C Gauff [3]
B Andreescu [W] VS A Sabalenka [2]
Zhang Shuai VS Zheng QW [7]
A Kalinskaya [15] VS D Vekic [24]
J Ostapenko [10] VS P Badosa [26]
L Samsonova [16] VS Zheng QW [7]
E Raducanu VS C Gauff [3]
C Wozniacki VS Zheng QW [7]
M Andreeva [21] VS Wang XiY
E Rybakina [4] VS D Vekic [24]
L Noskova VS K Siniakova
K Muchova VS D Vekic [24]
D Collins [11] VS B Krejcikova [8]
M Andreeva [21] VS C Gauff [3]
E Raducanu VS Wang XiY
N Osaka [W] VS C Gauff [3]
Zhang Shuai VS Yuan Yue
K Muchova VS A Anisimova [W]
L Noskova VS Wang XiY
J Paolini [5] VS B Krejcikova [8]
A Kalinskaya [15] VS B Krejcikova [8]
E Rybakina [4] VS D Kasatkina [12]
D Shnaider [18] VS A Anisimova [W]
A Kalinskaya [15] VS M Keys [14]
C Wozniacki VS V Azarenka [20]
J Ostapenko [10] VS C Gauff [3]
K Muchova VS M Keys [14]
Wang XinY VS C Gauff [3]
1:
I Swiatek [1] VS V Azarenka [20]
L Fernandez [23] VS EG Ruse [Q]
A Kalinskaya [15] VS C Gauff [3]
L Fernandez [23] VS A Anisimova [W]
J Paolini [5] VS A Anisimova [W]
E Raducanu VS B Krejcikova [8]
J Ostapenko [10] VS A Anisimova [W]
L Fernandez [23] VS P Badosa [26]
E Raducanu VS D Vekic [24]
D Shnaider [18] VS C Gauff [3]
D Shnaider [18] VS E Svitolina [27]
Zheng SS VS Wang XiY
E Avanesyan VS D Parry
M Bouzkova VS Zheng QW [7]
D Collins [11] VS P Badosa [26]
L Fernandez [23] VS V Azarenka [20]
E Avanesyan VS A Sabalenka [2]
L Fernandez [23] VS E Svitolina [27]
J Ostapenko [10] VS D Vekic [24]
N Osaka [W] VS M Keys [14]
L Samsonova [16] VS E Alexandrova [29]
E Avanesyan VS Zheng QW [7]
N Osaka [W] VS E Svitolina [27]
I Swiatek [1] VS Wang XiY
N Osaka [W] VS D Vekic [24]
Ka Pliskova VS D Vekic [24]
A Noel [W] VS Y Starodubtseva [Q]
N Osaka [W] VS L Sun
L Noskova VS M Keys [14]
D Collins [11] VS V Azarenka [20]
B Fruhvirtova VS A Sabalenka [2]
AK Schmiedlova VS B Krejcikova [8]
Wang XinY VS L Sun
M Andreeva [21] VS D Vekic [24]
T Preston [W] VS M Bassols Ribera [Q]
E Rybakina [4] VS M Sakkari [9]
L Fernandez [23] VS M Keys [14]
L Noskova VS L Sun
S Errani VS M Bassols Ribera [Q]
C Wozniacki VS B Krejcikova [8]
K Muchova VS B Krejcikova [8]
E Raducanu VS A Anisimova [W]
K Muchova VS Wang XiY
Wang XinY VS P Badosa [26]
Zheng SS VS Zheng QW [7]
A Kalinskaya [15] VS D Kasatkina [12]
A Pavlyuchenkova [25] VS A Sabalenka [2]
B Haddad Maia [22] VS A Sabalenka [2]
E Rybakina [4] VS Wang XiY
A Kalinskaya [15] VS A Anisimova [W]
E Rybakina [4] VS E Svitolina [27]
L Samsonova [16] VS P Badosa [26]
A Pavlyuchenkova [25] VS Zheng QW [7]
Y Putintseva [30] VS P Badosa [26]
L Noskova VS M Kessler [W]
D Shnaider [18] VS M Keys [14]
J Ostapenko [10] VS E Navarro [13]
Wang XinY VS Wang YF
L Noskova VS B Krejcikova [8]
J Pegula [6] VS E Navarro [13]
J Ponchet [Q] VS I Jovic [W]
L Fernandez [23] VS B Krejcikova [8]
Wang Qiang VS Zheng QW [7]
J Pegula [6] VS B Krejcikova [8]
C Garcia [28] VS A Sabalenka [2]
J Paolini [5] VS E Andreeva
Wang XinY VS B Krejcikova [8]
B Pera VS Zheng QW [7]
D Shnaider [18] VS B Krejcikova [8]
E Raducanu VS E Svitolina [27]
J Ostapenko [10] VS V Azarenka [20]
D Collins [11] VS Wang XiY
J Paolini [5] VS L Sun
Winner of 1st Quarter
I Swiatek [1] 1488 62.1%
J Pegula [6] 300 12.5%
M Andreeva [21] 249 10.4%
D Collins [11] 176 7.3%
D Shnaider [18] 86 3.6%
E Raducanu 51 2.1%
L Samsonova [16] 15 0.6%
A Pavlyuchenkova [25] 6 0.3%
Wang Qiang 6 0.3%
Zhang Shuai 5 0.2%
2:
M Bouzkova
C Tauson
S Kenin
AK Schmiedlova
K Boulter [31]
1:
E Lys [Q]
E Shibahara [Q]
T Preston [W]
S Errani
A Krueger
K Rakhimova [L]
Winner of 2nd Quarter
E Rybakina [4] 948 39.5%
J Paolini [5] 357 14.9%
A Kalinskaya [15] 194 8.1%
L Fernandez [23] 182 7.6%
N Osaka [W] 166 6.9%
J Ostapenko [10] 124 5.2%
K Muchova 119 5.0%
Wang XinY 110 4.6%
L Noskova 88 3.7%
B Haddad Maia [22] 21 0.9%
C Wozniacki 19 0.8%
Ka Pliskova 15 0.6%
Y Putintseva [30] 12 0.5%
B Andreescu [W] 12 0.5%
E Avanesyan 10 0.4%
C Garcia [28] 6 0.3%
4:
A Potapova
2:
Zheng SS
B Fruhvirtova
1:
A Noel [W]
D Aiava [Q]
S Sorribes Tormo
J Ponchet [Q]
L Davis
B Pera
Winner of 3rd Quarter
C Gauff [3] 789 32.9%
P Badosa [26] 600 25.0%
B Krejcikova [8] 348 14.5%
E Navarro [13] 194 8.1%
V Azarenka [20] 160 6.7%
E Svitolina [27] 110 4.6%
Wang XiY 69 2.9%
M Kostyuk [19] 45 1.9%
M Sakkari [9] 35 1.5%
Wang YF 22 0.9%
S Stephens 6 0.3%
M Kessler [W] 5 0.2%
3:
T Townsend
2:
M Bassols Ribera [Q]
A Blinkova
1:
EG Ruse [Q]
C Burel
D Parry
S Sierra [Q]
Y Starodubtseva [Q]
ML Carle
Winner of 4th Quarter
A Sabalenka [2] 1567 65.4%
Zheng QW [7] 594 24.8%
A Anisimova [W] 99 4.1%
M Keys [14] 54 2.3%
D Vekic [24] 44 1.8%
L Sun 13 0.5%
Yuan Yue 7 0.3%
4:
K Siniakova
3:
E Alexandrova [29]
D Kasatkina [12]
1:
D Yastremska [32]
T Korpatsch
P Hon [Q]
M Uchijima
V Tomova
A Tomljanovic
I Jovic [W]
E Andreeva
Winner of Section 1
I Swiatek [1] 1862 77.5%
M Andreeva [21] 448 18.6%
L Samsonova [16] 40 1.7%
A Pavlyuchenkova [25] 28 1.2%
M Bouzkova 7 0.3%
Wang Qiang 6 0.2%
Zhang Shuai 5 0.2%
2:
A Krueger
1:
E Lys [Q]
E Shibahara [Q]
T Preston [W]
C Osorio
K Rakhimova [L]
Winner of Section 2
J Pegula [6] 1361 56.6%
D Collins [11] 480 20.0%
D Shnaider [18] 328 13.6%
E Raducanu 182 7.6%
AK Schmiedlova 18 0.7%
K Boulter [31] 10 0.4%
S Kenin 9 0.4%
4:
S Errani
3:
C Tauson
2:
P Martic
C Dolehide
1:
C Bucsa
S Rogers
J Bouzas Maneiro
A Sasnovich [Q]
Winner of Section 3
E Rybakina [4] 1500 62.4%
A Kalinskaya [15] 604 25.1%
B Haddad Maia [22] 93 3.9%
C Wozniacki 91 3.8%
E Avanesyan 51 2.1%
C Garcia [28] 33 1.4%
Zheng SS 10 0.4%
B Pera 8 0.3%
3:
S Sorribes Tormo
L Davis
2:
J Ponchet [Q]
1:
N Hibino [Q]
A Noel [W]
D Aiava [Q]
A Bondar
Winner of Section 4
J Paolini [5] 697 29.0%
L Fernandez [23] 341 14.2%
N Osaka [W] 298 12.4%
Wang XinY 286 11.9%
J Ostapenko [10] 270 11.2%
K Muchova 241 10.0%
L Noskova 152 6.3%
Ka Pliskova 34 1.4%
Y Putintseva [30] 34 1.4%
B Andreescu [W] 30 1.2%
A Potapova 9 0.4%
4:
B Fruhvirtova
3:
K Volynets
2:
M Sherif
1:
Ar Rodionova [Q]
Winner of Section 5
P Badosa [26] 1018 42.4%
B Krejcikova [8] 659 27.4%
V Azarenka [20] 419 17.4%
Wang XiY 128 5.3%
M Sakkari [9] 89 3.7%
Wang YF 49 2.0%
S Stephens 16 0.7%
T Townsend 14 0.6%
2:
C Burel
EG Ruse [Q]
D Parry
M Bassols Ribera [Q]
1:
Y Starodubtseva [Q]
J Grabher
Winner of Section 6
C Gauff [3] 1308 54.5%
E Navarro [13] 508 21.1%
E Svitolina [27] 373 15.5%
M Kostyuk [19] 163 6.8%
M Kessler [W] 18 0.7%
A Blinkova 13 0.5%
V Gracheva 5 0.2%
4:
A Kalinina
A Bogdan
3:
S Sierra [Q]
1:
O Dodin
C Paquet [W]
ML Carle
Winner of Section 7
Zheng QW [7] 1672 69.6%
A Anisimova [W] 310 12.9%
D Vekic [24] 220 9.2%
D Kasatkina [12] 115 4.8%
D Yastremska [32] 31 1.3%
Yuan Yue 27 1.1%
P Stearns 17 0.7%
3:
J Niemeier
2:
T Korpatsch
E Andreeva
1:
G Minnen
M Uchijima
K Birrell [Q]
Winner of Section 8
A Sabalenka [2] 2082 86.6%
M Keys [14] 180 7.5%
L Sun 83 3.5%
E Alexandrova [29] 29 1.2%
K Siniakova 11 0.5%
V Kudermetova 7 0.3%
3:
E Mertens [33]
A Tomljanovic
1:
P Hon [Q]
M Linette
M Joint [Q]
V Tomova
I Jovic [W]