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Draw Challenges
2025 US Open Women's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (1866 participants)
Champion
I Swiatek [2] 699 37.6%
A Sabalenka [1] 563 30.3%
E Rybakina [9] 181 9.7%
C Gauff [3] 105 5.6%
M Andreeva [5] 55 3.0%
N Osaka [23] 38 2.0%
B Krejcikova 33 1.8%
Wang XiY [Q] 27 1.5%
V Mboko [22] 23 1.2%
M Keys [6] 19 1.0%
A Anisimova [8] 16 0.9%
J Pegula [4] 16 0.9%
E Raducanu 11 0.6%
K Muchova [11] 8 0.4%
B Bencic [16] 8 0.4%
C Tauson [14] 8 0.4%
E Alexandrova [13] 6 0.3%
Wang XinY 6 0.3%
J Ostapenko [25] 5 0.3%
4:
D Kasatkina [15]
3:
A Kalinskaya [29]
Zhang Shuai [Q]
2:
J Paolini [7]
L Samsonova [17]
E Navarro [10]
P Kvitova
E Svitolina [12]
1:
M Joint
A Krueger
D Vekic
E Mertens [19]
T Valentova [Q]
V Azarenka
M Bouzkova
Wang YF
F Jones [Q]
Yuan Yue
O Danilovic
A Eala
Zhu L
Winner of Top Half
A Sabalenka [1] 1011 54.4%
E Rybakina [9] 373 20.1%
M Andreeva [5] 139 7.5%
V Mboko [22] 75 4.0%
B Krejcikova 49 2.6%
J Pegula [4] 46 2.5%
Wang XiY [Q] 30 1.6%
C Tauson [14] 27 1.5%
J Paolini [7] 25 1.3%
E Raducanu 21 1.1%
B Bencic [16] 16 0.9%
L Samsonova [17] 15 0.8%
J Ostapenko [25] 9 0.5%
4:
M Vondrousova
3:
Zhang Shuai [Q]
2:
E Navarro [10]
Wang YF
Zhu L
D Yastremska [30]
1:
T Valentova [Q]
E Mertens [19]
V Azarenka
M Bouzkova
Yuan Yue
O Danilovic
A Eala
Winner of Bottom Half
I Swiatek [2] 1218 65.5%
C Gauff [3] 289 15.5%
N Osaka [23] 124 6.7%
M Keys [6] 91 4.9%
A Anisimova [8] 55 3.0%
Wang XinY 17 0.9%
K Muchova [11] 14 0.8%
E Alexandrova [13] 12 0.6%
A Kalinskaya [29] 11 0.6%
D Kasatkina [15] 6 0.3%
E Svitolina [12] 6 0.3%
4:
D Vekic
P Kvitova
3:
D Collins
2:
L Noskova [21]
1:
M Kostyuk [27]
A Krueger
M Joint
F Jones [Q]
Finalists
A Sabalenka [1] VS     I Swiatek [2] 706 38.0%
E Rybakina [9] VS     I Swiatek [2] 230 12.4%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     C Gauff [3] 157 8.4%
M Andreeva [5] VS     I Swiatek [2] 97 5.2%
E Rybakina [9] VS     C Gauff [3] 67 3.6%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     M Keys [6] 50 2.7%
V Mboko [22] VS     I Swiatek [2] 50 2.7%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     N Osaka [23] 49 2.6%
J Pegula [4] VS     I Swiatek [2] 29 1.6%
E Rybakina [9] VS     N Osaka [23] 28 1.5%
E Rybakina [9] VS     M Keys [6] 26 1.4%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     A Anisimova [8] 21 1.1%
J Paolini [7] VS     I Swiatek [2] 21 1.1%
B Krejcikova VS     I Swiatek [2] 20 1.1%
M Andreeva [5] VS     N Osaka [23] 15 0.8%
E Rybakina [9] VS     A Anisimova [8] 15 0.8%
M Andreeva [5] VS     C Gauff [3] 15 0.8%
V Mboko [22] VS     C Gauff [3] 14 0.8%
C Tauson [14] VS     I Swiatek [2] 14 0.8%
L Samsonova [17] VS     I Swiatek [2] 11 0.6%
B Krejcikova VS     N Osaka [23] 11 0.6%
Wang XiY [Q] VS     I Swiatek [2] 10 0.5%
E Raducanu VS     I Swiatek [2] 9 0.5%
Wang XiY [Q] VS     Wang XinY 8 0.4%
B Krejcikova VS     C Gauff [3] 7 0.4%
J Ostapenko [25] VS     I Swiatek [2] 7 0.4%
J Pegula [4] VS     C Gauff [3] 7 0.4%
B Bencic [16] VS     I Swiatek [2] 7 0.4%
Wang XiY [Q] VS     C Gauff [3] 7 0.4%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     E Alexandrova [13] 5 0.3%
E Raducanu VS     C Gauff [3] 5 0.3%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     A Kalinskaya [29] 5 0.3%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
B Bencic [16] VS N Osaka [23]
A Sabalenka [1] VS K Muchova [11]
C Tauson [14] VS C Gauff [3]
V Mboko [22] VS A Anisimova [8]
M Andreeva [5] VS M Keys [6]
C Tauson [14] VS A Anisimova [8]
3:
J Pegula [4] VS N Osaka [23]
L Samsonova [17] VS N Osaka [23]
A Sabalenka [1] VS Wang XinY
M Andreeva [5] VS A Anisimova [8]
B Krejcikova VS M Keys [6]
V Mboko [22] VS N Osaka [23]
A Sabalenka [1] VS E Svitolina [12]
C Tauson [14] VS E Alexandrova [13]
2:
B Krejcikova VS K Muchova [11]
M Vondrousova VS K Muchova [11]
E Navarro [10] VS C Gauff [3]
J Pegula [4] VS Wang XinY
A Sabalenka [1] VS D Kasatkina [15]
J Pegula [4] VS D Kasatkina [15]
B Bencic [16] VS D Vekic
M Andreeva [5] VS K Muchova [11]
E Raducanu VS N Osaka [23]
A Sabalenka [1] VS D Vekic
E Rybakina [9] VS D Kasatkina [15]
B Krejcikova VS A Anisimova [8]
Wang XiY [Q] VS N Osaka [23]
C Tauson [14] VS N Osaka [23]
Wang YF VS Wang XinY
J Pegula [4] VS M Keys [6]
D Yastremska [30] VS I Swiatek [2]
E Raducanu VS M Keys [6]
A Sabalenka [1] VS D Collins
1:
M Andreeva [5] VS A Kalinskaya [29]
M Vondrousova VS I Swiatek [2]
B Bencic [16] VS E Alexandrova [13]
B Bencic [16] VS A Kalinskaya [29]
M Andreeva [5] VS E Alexandrova [13]
E Raducanu VS A Anisimova [8]
L Samsonova [17] VS C Gauff [3]
J Paolini [7] VS C Gauff [3]
J Pegula [4] VS A Anisimova [8]
J Paolini [7] VS K Muchova [11]
M Vondrousova VS A Anisimova [8]
B Krejcikova VS Wang XinY
B Krejcikova VS A Kalinskaya [29]
E Raducanu VS K Muchova [11]
E Rybakina [9] VS A Krueger
E Rybakina [9] VS K Muchova [11]
V Azarenka VS I Swiatek [2]
B Bencic [16] VS A Anisimova [8]
B Krejcikova VS E Alexandrova [13]
T Valentova [Q] VS A Anisimova [8]
E Raducanu VS A Kalinskaya [29]
E Rybakina [9] VS M Kostyuk [27]
J Paolini [7] VS N Osaka [23]
E Rybakina [9] VS A Kalinskaya [29]
J Ostapenko [25] VS A Anisimova [8]
M Andreeva [5] VS P Kvitova
M Bouzkova VS L Noskova [21]
E Rybakina [9] VS P Kvitova
A Sabalenka [1] VS P Kvitova
E Mertens [19] VS E Svitolina [12]
J Paolini [7] VS P Kvitova
Zhu L VS E Svitolina [12]
A Sabalenka [1] VS F Jones [Q]
B Krejcikova VS E Svitolina [12]
V Mboko [22] VS M Keys [6]
J Ostapenko [25] VS M Keys [6]
Zhang Shuai [Q] VS Wang XinY
Zhang Shuai [Q] VS C Gauff [3]
Wang XiY [Q] VS D Collins
V Mboko [22] VS A Kalinskaya [29]
Wang XiY [Q] VS K Muchova [11]
Zhang Shuai [Q] VS M Keys [6]
Yuan Yue VS M Keys [6]
V Mboko [22] VS E Alexandrova [13]
Wang XiY [Q] VS L Noskova [21]
V Mboko [22] VS M Joint
O Danilovic VS C Gauff [3]
A Eala VS I Swiatek [2]
Zhu L VS N Osaka [23]
Winner of 1st Quarter
A Sabalenka [1] 1151 61.9%
E Rybakina [9] 542 29.2%
C Tauson [14] 65 3.5%
E Raducanu 42 2.3%
J Paolini [7] 40 2.2%
M Vondrousova 10 0.5%
2:
T Valentova [Q]
1:
E Mertens [19]
L Fernandez [31]
M Bouzkova
V Kudermetova [24]
R Marino [Q]
A Eala
Winner of 2nd Quarter
M Andreeva [5] 684 36.8%
V Mboko [22] 397 21.4%
J Pegula [4] 309 16.6%
L Samsonova [17] 119 6.4%
B Krejcikova 105 5.6%
B Bencic [16] 96 5.2%
J Ostapenko [25] 43 2.3%
Wang XiY [Q] 39 2.1%
Zhang Shuai [Q] 15 0.8%
D Yastremska [30] 10 0.5%
A Pavlyuchenkova 8 0.4%
V Azarenka 7 0.4%
Wang YF 7 0.4%
E Navarro [10] 5 0.3%
Yuan Yue 5 0.3%
4:
Zhu L
3:
C McNally [W]
1:
A Li
A Potapova
O Danilovic
Winner of 3rd Quarter
C Gauff [3] 872 46.9%
M Keys [6] 446 24.0%
N Osaka [23] 395 21.3%
K Muchova [11] 81 4.4%
L Noskova [21] 17 0.9%
D Kasatkina [15] 13 0.7%
D Vekic 8 0.4%
M Kostyuk [27] 6 0.3%
4:
P Stearns
S Cirstea
P Kvitova
1:
K Rakhimova
E Lys
S Sierra
K Siniakova
F Jones [Q]
J Bouzas Maneiro
C Garcia [W]
K Boulter
Winner of 4th Quarter
I Swiatek [2] 1589 85.5%
A Anisimova [8] 108 5.8%
E Alexandrova [13] 36 1.9%
E Svitolina [12] 32 1.7%
Wang XinY 29 1.6%
D Collins 26 1.4%
A Kalinskaya [29] 24 1.3%
4:
S Kenin [26]
D Shnaider [20]
3:
M Joint
1:
M Sakkari
A Krueger
L Siegemund
L Boisson
Winner of Section 1
A Sabalenka [1] 1644 88.2%
C Tauson [14] 198 10.6%
E Mertens [19] 9 0.5%
L Fernandez [31] 5 0.3%
2:
P Kudermetova
L Sun
A Eala
1:
M Bouzkova
R Marino [Q]
Winner of Section 2
E Rybakina [9] 1371 73.6%
J Paolini [7] 287 15.4%
E Raducanu 114 6.1%
M Vondrousova 60 3.2%
V Kudermetova [24] 11 0.6%
M Kessler [32] 6 0.3%
T Valentova [Q] 5 0.3%
3:
J Tjen [Q]
2:
I Jovic
A Sasnovich
1:
O Selekhmeteva [Q]
E Shibahara [Q]
Winner of Section 3
J Pegula [4] 918 49.3%
L Samsonova [17] 511 27.4%
B Bencic [16] 266 14.3%
Zhang Shuai [Q] 56 3.0%
A Pavlyuchenkova 41 2.2%
D Yastremska [30] 28 1.5%
V Azarenka 23 1.2%
Yuan Yue 14 0.8%
2:
A Li
R Sramkova
1:
P Hon [Q]
H Inoue [Q]
Winner of Section 4
M Andreeva [5] 989 53.1%
V Mboko [22] 515 27.6%
B Krejcikova 164 8.8%
J Ostapenko [25] 86 4.6%
Wang XiY [Q] 50 2.7%
E Navarro [10] 17 0.9%
C McNally [W] 12 0.6%
Wang YF 12 0.6%
Zhu L 9 0.5%
4:
O Danilovic
2:
T Townsend
A Potapova
1:
A Ruzic
A Parks
Winner of Section 5
M Keys [6] 1424 76.5%
K Muchova [11] 261 14.0%
L Noskova [21] 100 5.4%
M Kostyuk [27] 25 1.3%
S Cirstea 18 1.0%
P Kvitova 11 0.6%
E Lys 7 0.4%
K Boulter 6 0.3%
3:
V Williams [W]
2:
F Jones [Q]
1:
D Parry
S Sierra
D Galfi [Q]
K Volynets [Q]
Winner of Section 6
C Gauff [3] 1106 59.4%
N Osaka [23] 680 36.5%
D Kasatkina [15] 32 1.7%
D Vekic 20 1.1%
P Stearns 11 0.6%
3:
M Frech [28]
J Bouzas Maneiro
C Garcia [W]
2:
K Siniakova
1:
K Rakhimova
G Minnen
Winner of Section 7
E Svitolina [12] 888 47.7%
A Anisimova [8] 793 42.6%
D Collins 86 4.6%
S Kenin [26] 31 1.7%
M Joint 15 0.8%
M Sakkari 13 0.7%
B Haddad Maia [18] 13 0.7%
L Boisson 10 0.5%
A Krueger 8 0.4%
2:
S Kartal
V Jimenez Kasintseva [Q]
T Maria
Winner of Section 8
I Swiatek [2] 1672 89.7%
E Alexandrova [13] 80 4.3%
Wang XinY 49 2.6%
A Kalinskaya [29] 45 2.4%
D Shnaider [20] 14 0.8%
1:
Y Putintseva
L Siegemund
A Sevastova