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Draw Challenges
2025 US Open Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (1301 participants)
Champion
C Alcaraz [2] 634 49.0%
J Sinner [1] 415 32.1%
N Djokovic [7] 126 9.7%
D Medvedev [13] 49 3.8%
A Zverev [3] 18 1.4%
J Draper [5] 12 0.9%
A Rublev [15] 9 0.7%
T Fritz [4] 6 0.5%
4:
Shang JC
3:
C Ruud [12]
H Rune [11]
2:
K Khachanov [9]
J Mensik [16]
T Paul [14]
B Shelton [6]
1:
S Tsitsipas [26]
Wong CLC [Q]
F Auger-Aliassime [25]
A de Minaur [8]
E Ruusuvuori
Bu YCKT
L Tien
Winner of Top Half
J Sinner [1] 992 76.7%
A Zverev [3] 118 9.1%
J Draper [5] 76 5.9%
A Rublev [15] 52 4.0%
K Khachanov [9] 16 1.2%
A de Minaur [8] 10 0.8%
L Musetti [10] 6 0.5%
S Tsitsipas [26] 5 0.4%
T Paul [14] 5 0.4%
3:
Bu YCKT
2:
A Bublik [23]
M Cilic
1:
F Cobolli [24]
F Auger-Aliassime [25]
Wong CLC [Q]
A Popyrin
D Shapovalov [27]
E Ruusuvuori
M Arnaldi
Winner of Bottom Half
C Alcaraz [2] 946 73.1%
N Djokovic [7] 234 18.1%
D Medvedev [13] 59 4.6%
T Fritz [4] 14 1.1%
B Shelton [6] 10 0.8%
J Mensik [16] 8 0.6%
Shang JC 7 0.5%
C Ruud [12] 6 0.5%
H Rune [11] 6 0.5%
1:
T Machac [21]
L Nardi
L Tien
J Fonseca
Finalists
J Sinner [1] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 798 61.7%
J Sinner [1] VS     N Djokovic [7] 155 12.0%
A Zverev [3] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 49 3.8%
J Draper [5] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 45 3.5%
A Zverev [3] VS     D Medvedev [13] 38 2.9%
A Rublev [15] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 30 2.3%
A Zverev [3] VS     N Djokovic [7] 25 1.9%
J Draper [5] VS     N Djokovic [7] 25 1.9%
A Rublev [15] VS     N Djokovic [7] 13 1.0%
J Sinner [1] VS     D Medvedev [13] 10 0.8%
J Sinner [1] VS     B Shelton [6] 8 0.6%
J Sinner [1] VS     T Fritz [4] 7 0.5%
J Sinner [1] VS     J Mensik [16] 6 0.5%
K Khachanov [9] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 6 0.5%
A de Minaur [8] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 5 0.4%
K Khachanov [9] VS     N Djokovic [7] 5 0.4%
A Rublev [15] VS     D Medvedev [13] 5 0.4%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
T Paul [14] VS C Alcaraz [2]
3:
J Sinner [1] VS H Rune [11]
S Tsitsipas [26] VS N Djokovic [7]
L Musetti [10] VS N Djokovic [7]
A Zverev [3] VS T Fritz [4]
J Draper [5] VS D Medvedev [13]
2:
A Rublev [15] VS T Fritz [4]
L Musetti [10] VS C Alcaraz [2]
J Sinner [1] VS C Ruud [12]
S Tsitsipas [26] VS C Alcaraz [2]
M Cilic VS N Djokovic [7]
Bu YCKT VS Shang JC
K Khachanov [9] VS D Medvedev [13]
J Sinner [1] VS Shang JC
1:
A Bublik [23] VS N Djokovic [7]
A Popyrin VS C Alcaraz [2]
K Khachanov [9] VS T Fritz [4]
Wong CLC [Q] VS N Djokovic [7]
A de Minaur [8] VS N Djokovic [7]
F Auger-Aliassime [25] VS J Mensik [16]
A de Minaur [8] VS H Rune [11]
A Bublik [23] VS C Alcaraz [2]
A Rublev [15] VS B Shelton [6]
A Zverev [3] VS B Shelton [6]
F Cobolli [24] VS C Alcaraz [2]
T Paul [14] VS T Machac [21]
A Zverev [3] VS C Ruud [12]
K Khachanov [9] VS C Ruud [12]
A de Minaur [8] VS T Fritz [4]
A Zverev [3] VS H Rune [11]
A de Minaur [8] VS J Mensik [16]
A Rublev [15] VS C Ruud [12]
J Draper [5] VS Shang JC
E Ruusuvuori VS L Nardi
J Draper [5] VS H Rune [11]
Bu YCKT VS C Alcaraz [2]
K Khachanov [9] VS L Tien
J Draper [5] VS C Ruud [12]
M Arnaldi VS C Alcaraz [2]
A de Minaur [8] VS Shang JC
D Shapovalov [27] VS D Medvedev [13]
J Sinner [1] VS J Fonseca
L Musetti [10] VS Shang JC
Winner of 1st Quarter
J Sinner [1] 1108 85.6%
J Draper [5] 136 10.5%
T Paul [14] 11 0.9%
A Bublik [23] 10 0.8%
F Cobolli [24] 9 0.7%
L Musetti [10] 6 0.5%
4:
Bu YCKT
3:
D Shapovalov [27]
2:
A Popyrin
M Cilic
1:
J Munar
L Sonego
E Ruusuvuori
Winner of 2nd Quarter
A Zverev [3] 683 52.8%
A Rublev [15] 254 19.6%
K Khachanov [9] 175 13.5%
A de Minaur [8] 125 9.7%
S Tsitsipas [26] 32 2.5%
F Cerundolo [19] 6 0.5%
4:
F Auger-Aliassime [25]
H Medjedovic
3:
M Arnaldi
G Monfils
2:
U Humbert [22]
1:
Wong CLC [Q]
D Prizmic [Q]
R Bautista Agut
Winner of 3rd Quarter
N Djokovic [7] 967 74.7%
T Fritz [4] 202 15.6%
J Mensik [16] 54 4.2%
H Rune [11] 33 2.6%
J Fonseca 10 0.8%
F Tiafoe [17] 9 0.7%
T Machac [21] 7 0.5%
4:
A Michelsen [28]
2:
L Nardi
1:
J Kym [Q]
B Nakashima [30]
S Korda
N Jarry
B van de Zandschulp
L Tien
Winner of 4th Quarter
C Alcaraz [2] 1174 90.7%
D Medvedev [13] 68 5.3%
B Shelton [6] 25 1.9%
C Ruud [12] 10 0.8%
Shang JC 8 0.6%
3:
J Lehecka [20]
2:
B Coric
T Griekspoor [29]
1:
A Davidovich Fokina [18]
TM Etcheverry
Winner of Section 1
J Sinner [1] 1218 93.9%
T Paul [14] 25 1.9%
A Bublik [23] 24 1.9%
D Shapovalov [27] 10 0.8%
Bu YCKT 10 0.8%
4:
A Popyrin
3:
L Sonego
2:
M Cilic
1:
E Ruusuvuori
Winner of Section 2
J Draper [5] 1114 85.9%
F Cobolli [24] 84 6.5%
L Musetti [10] 79 6.1%
G Diallo [31] 11 0.8%
3:
J Munar
2:
J Brooksby
1:
Z Bergs
G Mpetshi Perricard
J Faria [L]
Q Halys
Winner of Section 3
A Zverev [3] 846 65.2%
A Rublev [15] 414 31.9%
F Auger-Aliassime [25] 10 0.8%
U Humbert [22] 10 0.8%
G Monfils 8 0.6%
3:
D Prizmic [Q]
2:
R Safiullin
J Fearnley
1:
Wong CLC [Q]
R Bautista Agut
Winner of Section 4
K Khachanov [9] 640 49.3%
A de Minaur [8] 502 38.7%
S Tsitsipas [26] 100 7.7%
H Medjedovic 22 1.7%
F Cerundolo [19] 18 1.4%
M Arnaldi 7 0.5%
4:
P Martinez
3:
C O'Connell
1:
H Gaston
N Basavareddy [W]
Winner of Section 5
N Djokovic [7] 1099 84.7%
H Rune [11] 123 9.5%
F Tiafoe [17] 42 3.2%
A Michelsen [28] 14 1.1%
S Korda 7 0.5%
4:
B van de Zandschulp
3:
L Tien
2:
C Norrie
1:
JL Struff [Q]
Z Piros [Q]
Z Svajda [Q]
Winner of Section 6
T Fritz [4] 1079 83.2%
J Mensik [16] 148 11.4%
J Fonseca 34 2.6%
T Machac [21] 18 1.4%
J Kym [Q] 7 0.5%
4:
B Nakashima [30]
2:
M Kecmanovic
L Nardi
N Jarry
1:
J de Jong [Q]
Winner of Section 7
B Shelton [6] 929 71.6%
C Ruud [12] 290 22.3%
J Lehecka [20] 29 2.2%
T Griekspoor [29] 16 1.2%
DE Galan [L] 15 1.2%
B Coric 9 0.7%
4:
A Mannarino
3:
C Moutet
1:
P Carreno Busta
TM Etcheverry
I Buse [Q]
Winner of Section 8
C Alcaraz [2] 1207 93.1%
D Medvedev [13] 76 5.9%
Shang JC 8 0.6%
3:
A Davidovich Fokina [18]
1:
L Darderi [32]
B Bonzi
R Opelka