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Draw Challenges
2024 US Open Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (1874 participants)
Champion
N Djokovic [2] 760 40.7%
C Alcaraz [3] 615 33.0%
D Medvedev [5] 184 9.9%
J Sinner [1] 151 8.1%
A Zverev [4] 84 4.5%
Zhang ZZ 10 0.5%
A Rublev [6] 9 0.5%
Shang JC 8 0.4%
H Rune [15] 6 0.3%
4:
G Dimitrov [9]
C Ruud [8]
3:
T Paul [14]
2:
L Musetti [18]
A de Minaur [10]
T Fritz [12]
1:
K Jacquet [Q]
T Machac
T Monteiro
J Mensik
A Bublik [27]
A Cazaux
D Thiem [W]
B van de Zandschulp
M Berrettini
M Forbes [W]
L Tu [Q]
B Shelton [13]
H Hurkacz [7]
K Khachanov [23]
JL Struff
H Medjedovic [Q]
B Coric
U Humbert [17]
T Schoolkate [W]
S Korda [16]
Bu YCKT [Q]
F Auger-Aliassime [19]
Winner of Top Half
C Alcaraz [3] 1035 55.4%
D Medvedev [5] 433 23.2%
J Sinner [1] 320 17.1%
T Paul [14] 20 1.1%
Zhang ZZ 17 0.9%
A de Minaur [10] 10 0.5%
H Hurkacz [7] 8 0.4%
F Auger-Aliassime [19] 6 0.3%
4:
S Korda [16]
3:
J Draper [25]
1:
T Machac
C Lestienne
S Tsitsipas [11]
J Mensik
B van de Zandschulp
M Forbes [W]
L Tu [Q]
T Daniel
K Khachanov [23]
H Medjedovic [Q]
B Coric
T Schoolkate [W]
Winner of Bottom Half
N Djokovic [2] 1350 72.3%
A Zverev [4] 346 18.5%
A Rublev [6] 32 1.7%
H Rune [15] 26 1.4%
Shang JC 19 1.0%
G Dimitrov [9] 18 1.0%
L Musetti [18] 15 0.8%
T Fritz [12] 13 0.7%
C Ruud [8] 12 0.6%
M Berrettini 8 0.4%
B Shelton [13] 7 0.4%
2:
J Lehecka [32]
A Bublik [27]
F Tiafoe [20]
C Eubanks [W]
U Humbert [17]
1:
K Jacquet [Q]
T Monteiro
A Cazaux
D Thiem [W]
A Davidovich Fokina
L Nardi
H Grenier [Q]
A Muller [W]
JL Struff
G Mpetshi Perricard
A Popyrin [28]
Bu YCKT [Q]
Finalists
C Alcaraz [3] VS     N Djokovic [2] 764 40.9%
D Medvedev [5] VS     N Djokovic [2] 317 17.0%
J Sinner [1] VS     N Djokovic [2] 231 12.4%
C Alcaraz [3] VS     A Zverev [4] 200 10.7%
D Medvedev [5] VS     A Zverev [4] 81 4.3%
J Sinner [1] VS     A Zverev [4] 57 3.1%
C Alcaraz [3] VS     A Rublev [6] 16 0.9%
T Paul [14] VS     N Djokovic [2] 11 0.6%
D Medvedev [5] VS     H Rune [15] 10 0.5%
C Alcaraz [3] VS     C Ruud [8] 10 0.5%
Zhang ZZ VS     Shang JC 10 0.5%
C Alcaraz [3] VS     H Rune [15] 10 0.5%
C Alcaraz [3] VS     G Dimitrov [9] 8 0.4%
J Sinner [1] VS     A Rublev [6] 8 0.4%
C Alcaraz [3] VS     L Musetti [18] 8 0.4%
D Medvedev [5] VS     A Rublev [6] 7 0.4%
A de Minaur [10] VS     N Djokovic [2] 6 0.3%
H Hurkacz [7] VS     N Djokovic [2] 6 0.3%
C Alcaraz [3] VS     T Fritz [12] 5 0.3%
F Auger-Aliassime [19] VS     N Djokovic [2] 5 0.3%
Zhang ZZ VS     N Djokovic [2] 5 0.3%
J Sinner [1] VS     H Rune [15] 5 0.3%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
C Alcaraz [3] VS B Shelton [13]
J Sinner [1] VS M Berrettini
D Medvedev [5] VS G Dimitrov [9]
T Paul [14] VS A Zverev [4]
D Medvedev [5] VS T Fritz [12]
J Sinner [1] VS G Dimitrov [9]
3:
D Medvedev [5] VS L Musetti [18]
J Sinner [1] VS B Shelton [13]
C Alcaraz [3] VS Shang JC
S Korda [16] VS N Djokovic [2]
J Sinner [1] VS Shang JC
2:
J Sinner [1] VS L Musetti [18]
D Medvedev [5] VS J Lehecka [32]
C Alcaraz [3] VS M Berrettini
A de Minaur [10] VS A Zverev [4]
T Paul [14] VS T Fritz [12]
C Alcaraz [3] VS U Humbert [17]
1:
J Sinner [1] VS T Fritz [12]
C Alcaraz [3] VS K Jacquet [Q]
D Medvedev [5] VS M Berrettini
T Machac VS L Musetti [18]
S Korda [16] VS A Zverev [4]
D Medvedev [5] VS Shang JC
C Lestienne VS T Monteiro
S Tsitsipas [11] VS H Rune [15]
J Mensik VS Shang JC
T Paul [14] VS A Bublik [27]
D Medvedev [5] VS A Bublik [27]
J Draper [25] VS A Cazaux
H Hurkacz [7] VS D Thiem [W]
B van de Zandschulp VS A Davidovich Fokina
A de Minaur [10] VS L Musetti [18]
A de Minaur [10] VS L Nardi
M Forbes [W] VS H Grenier [Q]
L Tu [Q] VS A Muller [W]
T Daniel VS N Djokovic [2]
K Khachanov [23] VS A Rublev [6]
C Alcaraz [3] VS F Tiafoe [20]
Zhang ZZ VS T Fritz [12]
D Medvedev [5] VS C Eubanks [W]
T Paul [14] VS G Dimitrov [9]
J Draper [25] VS JL Struff
H Medjedovic [Q] VS M Berrettini
Zhang ZZ VS A Zverev [4]
B Coric VS N Djokovic [2]
J Sinner [1] VS C Ruud [8]
J Sinner [1] VS F Tiafoe [20]
D Medvedev [5] VS C Ruud [8]
H Hurkacz [7] VS Shang JC
T Schoolkate [W] VS G Mpetshi Perricard
T Paul [14] VS A Popyrin [28]
J Draper [25] VS G Dimitrov [9]
C Alcaraz [3] VS Bu YCKT [Q]
F Auger-Aliassime [19] VS C Eubanks [W]
Winner of 1st Quarter
D Medvedev [5] 947 50.7%
J Sinner [1] 818 43.8%
T Paul [14] 56 3.0%
F Auger-Aliassime [19] 15 0.8%
S Tsitsipas [11] 13 0.7%
A Fils [24] 5 0.3%
3:
H Medjedovic [Q]
2:
J Mensik
J Duckworth
1:
P Kotov
E Spizzirri [Q]
T Daniel
F Marozsan
T Schoolkate [W]
M McDonald
Winner of 2nd Quarter
C Alcaraz [3] 1692 90.6%
A de Minaur [10] 40 2.1%
S Korda [16] 34 1.8%
H Hurkacz [7] 32 1.7%
Zhang ZZ 29 1.6%
K Khachanov [23] 16 0.9%
J Draper [25] 6 0.3%
3:
B Coric
2:
T Machac
R Safiullin
J Thompson
D Shapovalov
1:
C Lestienne
B van de Zandschulp
M Forbes [W]
L Tu [Q]
O Virtanen [Q]
A Tabilo [22]
H Gaston
F Diaz Acosta
Winner of 3rd Quarter
A Zverev [4] 1338 71.6%
T Fritz [12] 145 7.8%
L Musetti [18] 102 5.5%
C Ruud [8] 81 4.3%
H Rune [15] 74 4.0%
Shang JC 47 2.5%
M Berrettini 40 2.1%
U Humbert [17] 15 0.8%
4:
A Bublik [27]
F Cerundolo [29]
3:
Bu YCKT [Q]
2:
G Monfils
B Nakashima
1:
D Schwartzman [Q]
T Monteiro
A Cazaux
D Stricker
F Comesana
TM Etcheverry
A Muller [W]
C Ugo Carabelli
G Mpetshi Perricard
M Marterer [L]
P Carreno Busta
Winner of 4th Quarter
N Djokovic [2] 1649 88.3%
A Rublev [6] 88 4.7%
G Dimitrov [9] 46 2.5%
B Shelton [13] 31 1.7%
F Tiafoe [20] 16 0.9%
A Popyrin [28] 15 0.8%
J Lehecka [32] 9 0.5%
3:
A Davidovich Fokina
2:
K Jacquet [Q]
C Eubanks [W]
1:
L Djere
D Thiem [W]
L Nardi
H Grenier [Q]
JL Struff
M Krueger [Q]
T Griekspoor
Winner of Section 1
J Sinner [1] 1555 83.2%
T Paul [14] 241 12.9%
A Fils [24] 40 2.1%
S Wawrinka [W] 8 0.4%
A Michelsen 5 0.3%
N Jarry [26] 5 0.3%
4:
L Sonego
3:
M McDonald
A Vukic
2:
L Tien [W]
1:
E Spizzirri [Q]
M Bellucci [Q]
G Diallo [Q]
Winner of Section 2
D Medvedev [5] 1683 90.0%
S Tsitsipas [11] 74 4.0%
F Auger-Aliassime [19] 72 3.8%
J Mensik 13 0.7%
F Cobolli [31] 8 0.4%
F Marozsan 5 0.3%
H Medjedovic [Q] 5 0.3%
2:
D Lajovic
J Duckworth
T Daniel
T Schoolkate [W]
1:
P Kotov
F Coria
N Borges
Winner of Section 3
C Alcaraz [3] 1748 93.4%
S Korda [16] 57 3.0%
Zhang ZZ 34 1.8%
J Draper [25] 12 0.6%
4:
T Machac
B Coric
3:
D Shapovalov
A Tabilo [22]
2:
B van de Zandschulp
F Diaz Acosta
1:
L Tu [Q]
H Gaston
Winner of Section 4
A de Minaur [10] 911 48.8%
H Hurkacz [7] 639 34.2%
K Khachanov [23] 215 11.5%
M Arnaldi [30] 49 2.6%
R Safiullin 21 1.1%
J Thompson 20 1.1%
3:
O Virtanen [Q]
2:
M Forbes [W]
D Evans
Z Svajda [W]
1:
C Lestienne
Q Halys [Q]
M Giron
M Navone
Winner of Section 5
T Fritz [12] 905 48.4%
C Ruud [8] 396 21.2%
Shang JC 244 13.0%
M Berrettini 161 8.6%
U Humbert [17] 117 6.3%
G Monfils 16 0.9%
A Bublik [27] 14 0.7%
Bu YCKT [Q] 6 0.3%
3:
D Schwartzman [Q]
2:
F Comesana
1:
T Monteiro
A Ramos-Vinolas
D Stricker
J Choinski [Q]
C Ugo Carabelli
R Carballes Baena
Winner of Section 6
A Zverev [4] 1562 83.5%
L Musetti [18] 163 8.7%
H Rune [15] 123 6.6%
F Cerundolo [29] 5 0.3%
3:
P Carreno Busta
M Kecmanovic
TM Etcheverry
A Cazaux
2:
B Nakashima
1:
S Ofner
A Muller [W]
G Mpetshi Perricard
M Marterer [L]
Winner of Section 7
A Rublev [6] 850 45.4%
G Dimitrov [9] 829 44.3%
J Lehecka [32] 145 7.7%
S Baez [21] 9 0.5%
A Davidovich Fokina 9 0.5%
T Griekspoor 9 0.5%
C Eubanks [W] 8 0.4%
3:
S Nagal
R Hijikata
2:
K Jacquet [Q]
1:
H Grenier [Q]
T Seyboth Wild
M Krueger [Q]
A Rinderknech
Winner of Section 8
N Djokovic [2] 1732 92.6%
B Shelton [13] 59 3.2%
F Tiafoe [20] 34 1.8%
A Popyrin [28] 33 1.8%
JL Struff 5 0.3%
2:
D Thiem [W]
1:
L Djere
L Nardi
A Kovacevic
M Kasnikowski [Q]
Kwon S
P Martinez