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Draw Challenges
2023 US Open Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (1222 participants)

Champion
N Djokovic [2] 726 59.7%
C Alcaraz [1] 359 29.5%
D Medvedev [3] 66 5.4%
J Sinner [6] 14 1.2%
H Rune [4] 12 1.0%
A Zverev [12] 10 0.8%
A Rublev [8] 5 0.4%

4:
T Paul [14]
C Ruud [5]
2:
H Hurkacz [17]
Zhang ZZ
S Tsitsipas [7]
A Murray
1:
A Fils
J Mensik [Q]
D Thiem
T Fritz [9]
Y Watanuki
Wu YB
B Coric [27]
M Raonic
F Auger-Aliassime [15]
Winner of Top Half
C Alcaraz [1] 831 68.2%
D Medvedev [3] 189 15.5%
J Sinner [6] 98 8.0%
A Zverev [12] 37 3.0%
A Rublev [8] 22 1.8%
H Hurkacz [17] 20 1.6%
Wu YB 7 0.6%

4:
K Khachanov [11]
3:
B Coric [27]
2:
A Fils
A Murray
1:
L Harris
C Norrie [16]
N Moreno de Alboran [Q]
Winner of Bottom Half
N Djokovic [2] 1117 91.8%
H Rune [4] 51 4.2%
C Ruud [5] 10 0.8%
T Paul [14] 9 0.7%
F Tiafoe [10] 5 0.4%
S Tsitsipas [7] 5 0.4%
Zhang ZZ 5 0.4%

2:
L Musetti [18]
T Fritz [9]
A Karatsev
A Davidovich Fokina [21]
1:
A Mannarino [22]
J Mensik [Q]
Y Watanuki
D Thiem
M Raonic
F Auger-Aliassime [15]
B Shelton

Finalists
C Alcaraz [1] VS     N Djokovic [2] 774 63.6%
D Medvedev [3] VS     N Djokovic [2] 169 13.9%
J Sinner [6] VS     N Djokovic [2] 88 7.2%
A Zverev [12] VS     N Djokovic [2] 35 2.9%
C Alcaraz [1] VS     H Rune [4] 34 2.8%
H Hurkacz [17] VS     N Djokovic [2] 19 1.6%
A Rublev [8] VS     N Djokovic [2] 19 1.6%
D Medvedev [3] VS     H Rune [4] 10 0.8%
C Alcaraz [1] VS     T Paul [14] 7 0.6%
J Sinner [6] VS     H Rune [4] 6 0.5%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
K Khachanov [11] VS N Djokovic [2]
D Medvedev [3] VS C Ruud [5]
3:
B Coric [27] VS N Djokovic [2]
Wu YB VS Zhang ZZ
C Alcaraz [1] VS S Tsitsipas [7]
C Alcaraz [1] VS F Tiafoe [10]
2:
C Alcaraz [1] VS T Fritz [9]
D Medvedev [3] VS F Tiafoe [10]
Wu YB VS N Djokovic [2]
A Murray VS N Djokovic [2]
1:
C Alcaraz [1] VS L Musetti [18]
J Sinner [6] VS S Tsitsipas [7]
D Medvedev [3] VS S Tsitsipas [7]
C Alcaraz [1] VS A Davidovich Fokina [21]
A Rublev [8] VS C Ruud [5]
H Hurkacz [17] VS C Ruud [5]
A Rublev [8] VS L Musetti [18]
Wu YB VS M Raonic
C Alcaraz [1] VS Zhang ZZ
A Zverev [12] VS C Ruud [5]
C Alcaraz [1] VS F Auger-Aliassime [15]
J Sinner [6] VS A Karatsev
D Medvedev [3] VS Zhang ZZ
C Norrie [16] VS N Djokovic [2]
C Alcaraz [1] VS C Ruud [5]
N Moreno de Alboran [Q] VS Y Watanuki
J Sinner [6] VS T Paul [14]
A Fils VS N Djokovic [2]
J Sinner [6] VS C Ruud [5]
A Rublev [8] VS H Rune [4]
A Zverev [12] VS T Paul [14]
A Fils VS A Mannarino [22]
D Medvedev [3] VS A Davidovich Fokina [21]
C Alcaraz [1] VS B Shelton
Wu YB VS J Mensik [Q]
C Alcaraz [1] VS D Thiem
L Harris VS C Ruud [5]
D Medvedev [3] VS A Karatsev

Winner of 1st Quarter
C Alcaraz [1] 952 78.1%
J Sinner [6] 188 15.4%
A Zverev [12] 67 5.5%

3:
A Murray
2:
A Fils
S Wawrinka
G Dimitrov [19]
1:
L Harris
C Norrie [16]
N Moreno de Alboran [Q]
Winner of 2nd Quarter
D Medvedev [3] 867 71.2%
H Hurkacz [17] 145 11.9%
A Rublev [8] 111 9.1%
K Khachanov [11] 27 2.2%
A de Minaur [13] 25 2.1%
Wu YB 14 1.1%
B Coric [27] 14 1.1%
G Monfils 5 0.4%

4:
M Berrettini
3:
N Jarry [23]
1:
D Lajovic
M Purcell
J Isner [W]
Winner of 3rd Quarter
H Rune [4] 365 30.0%
C Ruud [5] 285 23.4%
F Tiafoe [10] 253 20.8%
T Paul [14] 225 18.5%
S Korda [31] 19 1.6%
Zhang ZZ 17 1.4%
A Davidovich Fokina [21] 15 1.2%
J Lehecka 7 0.6%
A Bublik [25] 7 0.6%
D Thiem 6 0.5%
A Karatsev 5 0.4%

4:
B Shelton
3:
A Mannarino [22]
2:
JM Cerundolo
1:
M Giron
R Hijikata [W]
Y Watanuki
R Safiullin
M Cecchinato
Winner of 4th Quarter
N Djokovic [2] 1184 97.3%
S Tsitsipas [7] 13 1.1%
L Musetti [18] 6 0.5%
T Fritz [9] 6 0.5%

2:
C Eubanks [28]
1:
J Mensik [Q]
H Gaston [Q]
B Bonzi [W]
M Raonic
F Cerundolo [20]
F Auger-Aliassime [15]

Winner of Section 1
C Alcaraz [1] 1198 98.1%
C Norrie [16] 10 0.8%
A Fils 6 0.5%

2:
D Evans [26]
A Shevchenko
1:
L Harris
T Kokkinakis
J Thompson
Winner of Section 2
J Sinner [6] 724 59.3%
A Zverev [12] 443 36.3%
A Murray 22 1.8%
S Wawrinka 15 1.2%
G Dimitrov [19] 10 0.8%

2:
Y Nishioka
1:
L Sonego
O Virtanen [Q]
C Moutet
N Moreno de Alboran [Q]
TM Etcheverry [30]
Winner of Section 3
D Medvedev [3] 1070 87.7%
A de Minaur [13] 81 6.6%
Wu YB 28 2.3%
B Coric [27] 24 2.0%
N Jarry [23] 9 0.7%

3:
J Duckworth [L]
2:
D Lajovic
M Purcell
1:
L van Assche
Winner of Section 4
A Rublev [8] 597 48.9%
H Hurkacz [17] 431 35.3%
K Khachanov [11] 129 10.6%
M Berrettini 33 2.7%
G Monfils 18 1.5%

3:
A Cazaux [L]
U Humbert [29]
J Isner [W]
1:
F Diaz Acosta
D Schwartzman
J Draper
Winner of Section 5
F Tiafoe [10] 578 47.4%
C Ruud [5] 512 42.0%
S Korda [31] 66 5.4%
Zhang ZZ 37 3.0%
A Mannarino [22] 15 1.2%

3:
M Fucsovics
JJ Wolf
2:
R Gasquet
1:
R Hijikata [W]
F Marozsan
Y Watanuki
Winner of Section 6
H Rune [4] 678 55.6%
T Paul [14] 403 33.1%
A Davidovich Fokina [21] 46 3.8%
J Lehecka 22 1.8%
A Karatsev 19 1.6%
D Thiem 16 1.3%
A Bublik [25] 15 1.2%
B Shelton 9 0.7%

4:
JM Cerundolo
3:
R Safiullin
2:
M Giron
1:
S Travaglia [Q]
M Cecchinato
Winner of Section 7
T Fritz [9] 558 45.7%
S Tsitsipas [7] 429 35.2%
L Musetti [18] 119 9.8%
C Eubanks [28] 72 5.9%
M Raonic 19 1.6%
A Popyrin 12 1.0%

4:
M Kecmanovic
2:
B Bonzi [W]
Q Halys
D Stricker [Q]
1:
J Mensik [Q]
Winner of Section 8
N Djokovic [2] 1207 98.9%

4:
F Cerundolo [20]
3:
J Vesely
F Auger-Aliassime [15]
1:
B Gojo [Q]
H Gaston [Q]
S Shimabukuro [Q]