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Draw Challenges
2022 US Open Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (815 participants)
Champion
R Nadal [2] 259 32.1%
D Medvedev [1] 244 30.2%
B Coric [25] 120 14.9%
C Alcaraz [3] 41 5.1%
S Tsitsipas [4] 32 4.0%
N Kyrgios [23] 29 3.6%
J Sinner [11] 15 1.9%
Wu YB [Q] 11 1.4%
M Berrettini [13] 9 1.1%
T Fritz [10] 7 0.9%
F Auger-Aliassime [6] 7 0.9%
M Cilic [15] 7 0.9%
H Hurkacz [8] 5 0.6%
4:
A Rublev [9]
D Shapovalov [19]
2:
S Wawrinka
C Ruud [5]
D Goffin
G Dimitrov [17]
1:
A Murray
P Carreno Busta [12]
C Norrie [7]
M Kecmanovic [32]
B van de Zandschulp [21]
Zhang ZZ [Q]
Winner of Top Half
D Medvedev [1] 476 58.9%
S Tsitsipas [4] 107 13.2%
N Kyrgios [23] 81 10.0%
T Fritz [10] 39 4.8%
F Auger-Aliassime [6] 30 3.7%
M Berrettini [13] 25 3.1%
Wu YB [Q] 14 1.7%
P Carreno Busta [12] 14 1.7%
C Ruud [5] 12 1.5%
2:
S Wawrinka
A Murray
1:
D Thiem [W]
B van de Zandschulp [21]
K Khachanov [27]
U Humbert [W]
T Paul [29]
Zhang ZZ [Q]
Winner of Bottom Half
R Nadal [2] 402 49.8%
B Coric [25] 204 25.2%
C Alcaraz [3] 75 9.3%
J Sinner [11] 51 6.3%
H Hurkacz [8] 25 3.1%
M Cilic [15] 15 1.9%
C Norrie [7] 11 1.4%
A Rublev [9] 9 1.1%
D Shapovalov [19] 7 0.9%
4:
G Dimitrov [17]
2:
D Goffin
M Kecmanovic [32]
1:
D Schwartzman [14]
Finalists
D Medvedev [1] VS     R Nadal [2] 248 30.7%
D Medvedev [1] VS     B Coric [25] 102 12.6%
S Tsitsipas [4] VS     R Nadal [2] 52 6.4%
D Medvedev [1] VS     C Alcaraz [3] 47 5.8%
N Kyrgios [23] VS     R Nadal [2] 36 4.5%
D Medvedev [1] VS     J Sinner [11] 34 4.2%
N Kyrgios [23] VS     B Coric [25] 29 3.6%
S Tsitsipas [4] VS     B Coric [25] 28 3.5%
T Fritz [10] VS     R Nadal [2] 19 2.4%
D Medvedev [1] VS     H Hurkacz [8] 19 2.4%
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS     R Nadal [2] 16 2.0%
T Fritz [10] VS     B Coric [25] 12 1.5%
D Medvedev [1] VS     M Cilic [15] 10 1.2%
M Berrettini [13] VS     R Nadal [2] 9 1.1%
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS     B Coric [25] 9 1.1%
N Kyrgios [23] VS     C Alcaraz [3] 8 1.0%
P Carreno Busta [12] VS     R Nadal [2] 7 0.9%
S Tsitsipas [4] VS     J Sinner [11] 7 0.9%
M Berrettini [13] VS     B Coric [25] 7 0.9%
Wu YB [Q] VS     B Coric [25] 7 0.9%
C Ruud [5] VS     R Nadal [2] 7 0.9%
S Tsitsipas [4] VS     C Alcaraz [3] 7 0.9%
D Medvedev [1] VS     A Rublev [9] 6 0.7%
Wu YB [Q] VS     R Nadal [2] 5 0.6%
N Kyrgios [23] VS     J Sinner [11] 5 0.6%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
D Medvedev [1] VS C Norrie [7]
C Ruud [5] VS B Coric [25]
S Tsitsipas [4] VS H Hurkacz [8]
M Berrettini [13] VS C Alcaraz [3]
3:
S Tsitsipas [4] VS C Norrie [7]
P Carreno Busta [12] VS C Alcaraz [3]
T Fritz [10] VS C Norrie [7]
P Carreno Busta [12] VS B Coric [25]
2:
D Medvedev [1] VS M Kecmanovic [32]
N Kyrgios [23] VS H Hurkacz [8]
A Murray VS R Nadal [2]
S Tsitsipas [4] VS M Cilic [15]
D Medvedev [1] VS D Shapovalov [19]
M Berrettini [13] VS J Sinner [11]
T Fritz [10] VS M Cilic [15]
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS C Alcaraz [3]
D Medvedev [1] VS G Dimitrov [17]
S Tsitsipas [4] VS D Shapovalov [19]
T Fritz [10] VS C Alcaraz [3]
1:
C Ruud [5] VS C Alcaraz [3]
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS J Sinner [11]
S Tsitsipas [4] VS D Schwartzman [14]
Wu YB [Q] VS G Dimitrov [17]
D Thiem [W] VS B Coric [25]
Zhang ZZ [Q] VS R Nadal [2]
M Berrettini [13] VS D Shapovalov [19]
B van de Zandschulp [21] VS B Coric [25]
N Kyrgios [23] VS A Rublev [9]
U Humbert [W] VS D Goffin
M Berrettini [13] VS C Norrie [7]
M Berrettini [13] VS M Cilic [15]
S Wawrinka VS B Coric [25]
P Carreno Busta [12] VS J Sinner [11]
S Wawrinka VS C Alcaraz [3]
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS A Rublev [9]
S Tsitsipas [4] VS A Rublev [9]
T Fritz [10] VS D Goffin
K Khachanov [27] VS G Dimitrov [17]
T Paul [29] VS J Sinner [11]
F Auger-Aliassime [6] VS D Shapovalov [19]
Wu YB [Q] VS D Shapovalov [19]
Winner of 1st Quarter
D Medvedev [1] 550 68.1%
N Kyrgios [23] 141 17.5%
F Auger-Aliassime [6] 61 7.5%
P Carreno Busta [12] 29 3.6%
Wu YB [Q] 17 2.1%
4:
R Bautista Agut [16]
3:
D Thiem [W]
2:
K Khachanov [27]
1:
U Humbert [W]
Winner of 2nd Quarter
S Tsitsipas [4] 398 49.3%
T Fritz [10] 194 24.0%
M Berrettini [13] 103 12.8%
C Ruud [5] 58 7.2%
Zhang ZZ [Q] 13 1.6%
T Paul [29] 11 1.4%
B van de Zandschulp [21] 9 1.1%
S Korda 5 0.6%
A Murray 5 0.6%
4:
S Wawrinka
3:
M Cressy [30]
1:
T Machac [Q]
T van Rijthoven
M Fucsovics
F Cerundolo [24]
Winner of 3rd Quarter
B Coric [25] 332 41.1%
C Alcaraz [3] 173 21.4%
J Sinner [11] 149 18.4%
H Hurkacz [8] 77 9.5%
M Cilic [15] 53 6.6%
G Dimitrov [17] 15 1.9%
3:
D Goffin
2:
A Mannarino
L Musetti [26]
D Evans [20]
Winner of 4th Quarter
R Nadal [2] 661 81.8%
C Norrie [7] 56 6.9%
A Rublev [9] 29 3.6%
D Shapovalov [19] 25 3.1%
F Tiafoe [22] 14 1.7%
M Kecmanovic [32] 10 1.2%
H Rune [28] 5 0.6%
3:
J Isner
2:
D Schwartzman [14]
F Fognini
1:
A Karatsev
Winner of Section 1
D Medvedev [1] 599 74.0%
N Kyrgios [23] 176 21.7%
Wu YB [Q] 19 2.3%
R Bautista Agut [16] 15 1.9%
1:
U Humbert [W]
Winner of Section 2
F Auger-Aliassime [6] 509 62.8%
P Carreno Busta [12] 205 25.3%
A de Minaur [18] 33 4.1%
K Khachanov [27] 20 2.5%
J Draper 19 2.3%
D Thiem [W] 11 1.4%
F Krajinovic 6 0.7%
2:
A Molcan
C Garin
A Bublik
1:
E Ruusuvuori
Winner of Section 3
S Tsitsipas [4] 569 70.3%
M Berrettini [13] 205 25.3%
A Murray 14 1.7%
M Cressy [30] 12 1.5%
3:
A Davidovich Fokina
2:
M Fucsovics
F Cerundolo [24]
1:
J Millman
Y Nishioka
Winner of Section 4
T Fritz [10] 475 58.6%
C Ruud [5] 211 26.0%
B van de Zandschulp [21] 38 4.7%
T Paul [29] 34 4.2%
Zhang ZZ [Q] 21 2.6%
S Korda 16 2.0%
S Wawrinka 10 1.2%
3:
T van Rijthoven
2:
T Machac [Q]
Winner of Section 5
J Sinner [11] 425 52.5%
H Hurkacz [8] 289 35.7%
G Dimitrov [17] 63 7.8%
L Musetti [26] 14 1.7%
D Goffin 9 1.1%
B Nakashima 6 0.7%
3:
A Mannarino
1:
S Querrey [W]
Winner of Section 6
B Coric [25] 402 49.8%
C Alcaraz [3] 260 32.2%
M Cilic [15] 139 17.2%
D Evans [20] 6 0.7%
1:
S Baez
Winner of Section 7
C Norrie [7] 408 50.5%
A Rublev [9] 251 31.1%
D Shapovalov [19] 95 11.8%
J Isner 27 3.3%
H Rune [28] 19 2.4%
3:
J Munar
2:
P Gojowczyk
1:
L Djere
M McDonald
MA Huesler
Winner of Section 8
R Nadal [2] 731 90.4%
F Tiafoe [22] 35 4.3%
M Kecmanovic [32] 21 2.6%
D Schwartzman [14] 13 1.6%
4:
F Fognini
3:
A Karatsev
1:
R Gasquet
Tseng CH