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Draw Challenges
2026 Madrid Women's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (599 participants)
Champion
1A Sabalenka 272 45.6%
2E Rybakina 121 20.3%
32Zheng QW 111 18.6%
3C Gauff 31 5.2%
4I Swiatek 31 5.2%
5J Pegula 13 2.2%
10V Mboko 6 1.0%
9M Andreeva 5 0.8%
4:
34M Frech
1:
21J Ostapenko
K Siniakova
Winner of Top Half
1A Sabalenka 493 82.7%
4I Swiatek 60 10.1%
9M Andreeva 27 4.5%
11B Bencic 5 0.8%
4:
7E Svitolina
2:
24L Fernandez
1:
22A Kalinskaya
L Boisson
14Osaka N
D Kasatkina
28Wang XY
Winner of Bottom Half
2E Rybakina 295 49.5%
32Zheng QW 138 23.2%
3C Gauff 97 16.3%
5J Pegula 34 5.7%
10V Mboko 25 4.2%
4:
34M Frech
1:
33M Sakkari
21J Ostapenko
K Siniakova
0:
26M Kostyuk
Finalists
1A Sabalenka VS          2E Rybakina 255 42.8%
1A Sabalenka VS          32Zheng QW 104 17.4%
1A Sabalenka VS          3C Gauff 79 13.3%
4I Swiatek VS          2E Rybakina 30 5.0%
1A Sabalenka VS          5J Pegula 29 4.9%
1A Sabalenka VS          10V Mboko 21 3.5%
9M Andreeva VS          32Zheng QW 15 2.5%
4I Swiatek VS          3C Gauff 13 2.2%
4I Swiatek VS          32Zheng QW 10 1.7%
9M Andreeva VS          2E Rybakina 5 0.8%
9M Andreeva VS          3C Gauff 5 0.8%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
11B Bencic VS 32Zheng QW
3:
1A Sabalenka VS 34M Frech
4I Swiatek VS 5J Pegula
4I Swiatek VS 10V Mboko
2:
7E Svitolina VS 32Zheng QW
7E Svitolina VS 2E Rybakina
9M Andreeva VS 5J Pegula
1:
22A Kalinskaya VS 34M Frech
24L Fernandez VS 32Zheng QW
L Boisson VS 2E Rybakina
11B Bencic VS 2E Rybakina
4I Swiatek VS 33M Sakkari
14Osaka N VS 32Zheng QW
24L Fernandez VS 10V Mboko
D Kasatkina VS 2E Rybakina
28Wang XY VS 32Zheng QW
1A Sabalenka VS 21J Ostapenko
1A Sabalenka VS K Siniakova
0:
9M Andreeva VS 26M Kostyuk
Winner of 1st Quarter
1A Sabalenka 573 96.1%
11B Bencic 14 2.3%
14Osaka N 5 0.8%
1:
30H Baptiste
18D Shnaider
L Boisson
8J Paolini
Winner of 2nd Quarter
9M Andreeva 224 37.6%
4I Swiatek 204 34.2%
7E Svitolina 144 24.2%
24L Fernandez 9 1.5%
15I Jovic 6 1.0%
4:
22A Kalinskaya
28Wang XY
1:
D Kasatkina
Winner of 3rd Quarter
3C Gauff 264 44.3%
5J Pegula 199 33.4%
10V Mboko 118 19.8%
13L Noskova 7 1.2%
26M Kostyuk 5 0.8%
1:
QA Charaeva
T Valentova
K Siniakova
Winner of 4th Quarter
2E Rybakina 401 67.3%
32Zheng QW 171 28.7%
34M Frech 8 1.3%
LA Potapova 5 0.8%
3:
21J Ostapenko
2:
19E Mertens
K Pliskova
27C Bucsa
1:
E Lys
33M Sakkari
Winner of Section 1
1A Sabalenka 588 98.3%
14Osaka N 8 1.3%
2:
L Boisson
Winner of Section 2
11B Bencic 485 81.1%
8J Paolini 49 8.2%
18D Shnaider 26 4.3%
30H Baptiste 18 3.0%
L Siegemund 14 2.3%
J Bouzas Maneiro 5 0.8%
1:
P Marcinko
Winner of Section 3
4I Swiatek 501 83.8%
15I Jovic 47 7.9%
24L Fernandez 44 7.4%
3:
E Cocciaretto
2:
M Linette
1:
D Kasatkina
Winner of Section 4
9M Andreeva 311 52.0%
7E Svitolina 266 44.5%
28Wang XY 11 1.8%
22A Kalinskaya 10 1.7%
Winner of Section 5
5J Pegula 331 55.4%
10V Mboko 240 40.2%
26M Kostyuk 20 3.4%
2:
Y Putintseva
1:
K Boulter
T Valentova
LA Blinkova
K Siniakova
Winner of Section 6
3C Gauff 557 93.3%
13L Noskova 24 4.0%
25S Cirstea 7 1.2%
20L Samsonova 5 0.8%
3:
QA Charaeva
1:
WE Arango
Winner of Section 7
19E Mertens 216 36.2%
34M Frech 149 25.0%
K Pliskova 104 17.4%
33M Sakkari 48 8.0%
D Yastremska 34 5.7%
27C Bucsa 21 3.5%
Z Sonmez 13 2.2%
A Eala 10 1.7%
2:
QA Pavlyuchenkova
Winner of Section 8
2E Rybakina 408 68.3%
32Zheng QW 176 29.5%
LA Potapova 6 1.0%
21J Ostapenko 5 0.8%
1:
E Lys
A Ruzic