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Draw Challenges
2024 Australian Open Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (1265 participants)
Champion
N Djokovic [1] 751 59.6%
J Sinner [4] 166 13.2%
C Alcaraz [2] 135 10.7%
D Medvedev [3] 97 7.7%
A Zverev [6] 49 3.9%
A de Minaur [10] 10 0.8%
Zhang ZZ 10 0.8%
Shang JC [W] 8 0.6%
G Dimitrov [13] 7 0.6%
C Ruud [11] 5 0.4%
H Rune [8] 5 0.4%
3:
A Rublev [5]
2:
S Tsitsipas [7]
B Coric
A Fils
H Hurkacz [9]
1:
U Humbert [21]
S Nagal [Q]
A Murray
B van de Zandschulp
Y Watanuki
S Korda [29]
Winner of Top Half
N Djokovic [1] 898 71.3%
J Sinner [4] 305 24.2%
A de Minaur [10] 28 2.2%
A Rublev [5] 14 1.1%
S Tsitsipas [7] 5 0.4%
2:
B van de Zandschulp
B Coric
T Fritz [12]
1:
A Murray
Z Bergs [L]
K Khachanov [15]
S Korda [29]
Winner of Bottom Half
C Alcaraz [2] 499 39.6%
D Medvedev [3] 380 30.2%
A Zverev [6] 226 18.0%
G Dimitrov [13] 63 5.0%
H Rune [8] 26 2.1%
C Ruud [11] 17 1.4%
Zhang ZZ 16 1.3%
H Hurkacz [9] 13 1.0%
Shang JC [W] 8 0.6%
3:
A Fils
2:
A Davidovich Fokina [23]
1:
Y Watanuki
S Nagal [Q]
F Auger-Aliassime [27]
U Humbert [21]
J Lehecka [32]
R Safiullin
Finalists
N Djokovic [1] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 337 26.8%
N Djokovic [1] VS     D Medvedev [3] 279 22.2%
N Djokovic [1] VS     A Zverev [6] 167 13.3%
J Sinner [4] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 142 11.3%
J Sinner [4] VS     D Medvedev [3] 89 7.1%
N Djokovic [1] VS     G Dimitrov [13] 52 4.1%
J Sinner [4] VS     A Zverev [6] 47 3.7%
N Djokovic [1] VS     H Rune [8] 20 1.6%
A de Minaur [10] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 12 1.0%
N Djokovic [1] VS     H Hurkacz [9] 11 0.9%
N Djokovic [1] VS     Zhang ZZ 11 0.9%
N Djokovic [1] VS     C Ruud [11] 10 0.8%
J Sinner [4] VS     G Dimitrov [13] 8 0.6%
J Sinner [4] VS     H Rune [8] 5 0.4%
A de Minaur [10] VS     D Medvedev [3] 5 0.4%
A Rublev [5] VS     D Medvedev [3] 5 0.4%
A de Minaur [10] VS     A Zverev [6] 5 0.4%
N Djokovic [1] VS     Shang JC [W] 5 0.4%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
A Rublev [5] VS A Zverev [6]
J Sinner [4] VS C Ruud [11]
3:
A Rublev [5] VS C Alcaraz [2]
J Sinner [4] VS Shang JC [W]
J Sinner [4] VS Zhang ZZ
A de Minaur [10] VS G Dimitrov [13]
2:
S Tsitsipas [7] VS C Alcaraz [2]
1:
A Murray VS C Alcaraz [2]
S Tsitsipas [7] VS D Medvedev [3]
J Sinner [4] VS R Safiullin
A Rublev [5] VS C Ruud [11]
B van de Zandschulp VS C Ruud [11]
T Fritz [12] VS A Zverev [6]
S Korda [29] VS A Zverev [6]
K Khachanov [15] VS D Medvedev [3]
S Tsitsipas [7] VS A Zverev [6]
A de Minaur [10] VS C Ruud [11]
A de Minaur [10] VS H Hurkacz [9]
B Coric VS C Alcaraz [2]
Z Bergs [L] VS C Alcaraz [2]
N Djokovic [1] VS A Fils
N Djokovic [1] VS F Auger-Aliassime [27]
N Djokovic [1] VS U Humbert [21]
J Sinner [4] VS H Hurkacz [9]
N Djokovic [1] VS Y Watanuki
S Tsitsipas [7] VS Zhang ZZ
A de Minaur [10] VS A Fils
B Coric VS A Davidovich Fokina [23]
J Sinner [4] VS A Fils
B van de Zandschulp VS A Davidovich Fokina [23]
A Rublev [5] VS H Rune [8]
N Djokovic [1] VS S Nagal [Q]
J Sinner [4] VS J Lehecka [32]
T Fritz [12] VS Zhang ZZ
Winner of 1st Quarter
N Djokovic [1] 1212 96.1%
B Shelton [16] 23 1.8%
S Tsitsipas [7] 14 1.1%
T Fritz [12] 5 0.4%
1:
S Wawrinka
A Murray
A Mannarino [20]
Z Bergs [L]
A Popyrin
A Shevchenko
M Cilic
Winner of 2nd Quarter
J Sinner [4] 934 74.2%
A Rublev [5] 164 13.0%
A de Minaur [10] 126 10.0%
K Khachanov [15] 14 1.1%
B Coric 7 0.6%
S Korda [29] 6 0.5%
2:
B van de Zandschulp
F Tiafoe [17]
1:
T Daniel
V Kopriva [Q]
C Eubanks
Winner of 3rd Quarter
D Medvedev [3] 831 66.0%
G Dimitrov [13] 212 16.8%
H Rune [8] 85 6.8%
H Hurkacz [9] 71 5.6%
Zhang ZZ 33 2.6%
A Fils 9 0.7%
R Safiullin 8 0.6%
3:
U Humbert [21]
A Davidovich Fokina [23]
2:
F Auger-Aliassime [27]
1:
L Djere
E Ruusuvuori
Winner of 4th Quarter
C Alcaraz [2] 798 63.3%
A Zverev [6] 391 31.0%
C Ruud [11] 33 2.6%
Shang JC [W] 19 1.5%
J Lehecka [32] 6 0.5%
4:
T Paul [14]
3:
J Draper
2:
C Norrie [19]
1:
S Nagal [Q]
Y Watanuki
A Bublik [31]
M Kecmanovic
Winner of Section 1
N Djokovic [1] 1225 97.1%
B Shelton [16] 28 2.2%
4:
S Wawrinka
1:
A Murray
A Mannarino [20]
Y Hanfmann
A Popyrin
A Shevchenko
Winner of Section 2
S Tsitsipas [7] 595 47.2%
T Fritz [12] 393 31.2%
L Musetti [25] 114 9.0%
M Cilic 44 3.5%
F Cerundolo [22] 40 3.2%
Z Bergs [L] 31 2.5%
J Thompson 18 1.4%
F Marozsan 13 1.0%
L van Assche 6 0.5%
3:
H Gaston [L]
2:
R Carballes Baena
1:
A Vukic
Winner of Section 3
J Sinner [4] 1179 93.6%
K Khachanov [15] 49 3.9%
F Tiafoe [17] 11 0.9%
B Coric 11 0.9%
3:
B van de Zandschulp
2:
D Altmaier
A Kovacevic [Q]
1:
J de Jong [Q]
JJ Wolf
Winner of Section 4
A Rublev [5] 663 52.6%
A de Minaur [10] 544 43.1%
S Korda [29] 34 2.7%
N Jarry [18] 9 0.7%
4:
C Eubanks
2:
M Raonic
P Kotov
1:
T Daniel
V Kopriva [Q]
Q Halys
Winner of Section 5
H Rune [8] 541 42.9%
H Hurkacz [9] 430 34.1%
Zhang ZZ 174 13.8%
A Fils 47 3.7%
R Safiullin 31 2.5%
U Humbert [21] 23 1.8%
L Djere 5 0.4%
3:
T Griekspoor [28]
D Shapovalov
2:
D Goffin [Q]
J Mensik [Q]
Winner of Section 6
D Medvedev [3] 972 77.1%
G Dimitrov [13] 274 21.7%
A Davidovich Fokina [23] 6 0.5%
F Auger-Aliassime [27] 6 0.5%
2:
E Ruusuvuori
1:
D Thiem
Winner of Section 7
A Zverev [6] 1056 83.8%
C Ruud [11] 160 12.7%
J Lehecka [32] 20 1.6%
C Norrie [19] 19 1.5%
3:
D Lajovic
1:
M Valkusz [Q]
A Michelsen
Winner of Section 8
C Alcaraz [2] 1156 91.7%
T Paul [14] 43 3.4%
Shang JC [W] 36 2.9%
J Draper 11 0.9%
4:
JL Struff [24]
A Bublik [31]
3:
M Kecmanovic
2:
D Evans
1:
S Nagal [Q]
Y Watanuki