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Draw Challenges
2021 Australian Open Women's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (326 participants)
Champion
N Osaka [3] 121 37.6%
A Barty [1] 48 14.9%
S Williams [10] 26 8.1%
G Muguruza [14] 22 6.8%
S Halep [2] 19 5.9%
B Andreescu [8] 18 5.6%
V Azarenka [12] 15 4.7%
P Kvitova [9] 14 4.3%
A Sabalenka [7] 7 2.2%
I Swiatek [15] 7 2.2%
Ka Pliskova [6] 5 1.6%
Wang Qiang [30] 5 1.6%
3:
A Kerber [23]
Zhang Shuai [31]
E Svitolina [5]
2:
S Kenin [4]
1:
M Sakkari [20]
E Alexandrova [29]
S Kuznetsova
Zheng SS
Winner of Top Half
A Barty [1] 188 58.2%
V Azarenka [12] 58 18.0%
S Kenin [4] 20 6.2%
Ka Pliskova [6] 16 5.0%
M Sakkari [20] 9 2.8%
E Svitolina [5] 5 1.5%
E Alexandrova [29] 5 1.5%
4:
E Mertens [18]
3:
Zheng SS
2:
J Brady [22]
D Collins
B Bencic [11]
K Kanepi
1:
N Podoroska
J Ostapenko
C Gauff
K Muchova [25]
S Stephens
S Kuznetsova
A Kontaveit [21]
Winner of Bottom Half
N Osaka [3] 153 47.4%
S Williams [10] 41 12.7%
S Halep [2] 32 9.9%
G Muguruza [14] 28 8.7%
B Andreescu [8] 22 6.8%
P Kvitova [9] 15 4.6%
A Sabalenka [7] 10 3.1%
I Swiatek [15] 9 2.8%
Wang Qiang [30] 5 1.5%
4:
Zhang Shuai [31]
3:
A Kerber [23]
1:
M Kostyuk
Finalists
A Barty [1] VS     N Osaka [3] 106 32.8%
A Barty [1] VS     S Williams [10] 23 7.1%
V Azarenka [12] VS     N Osaka [3] 19 5.9%
A Barty [1] VS     G Muguruza [14] 14 4.3%
V Azarenka [12] VS     S Williams [10] 12 3.7%
A Barty [1] VS     S Halep [2] 12 3.7%
A Barty [1] VS     B Andreescu [8] 11 3.4%
S Kenin [4] VS     N Osaka [3] 10 3.1%
V Azarenka [12] VS     S Halep [2] 9 2.8%
A Barty [1] VS     I Swiatek [15] 7 2.2%
A Barty [1] VS     P Kvitova [9] 7 2.2%
Ka Pliskova [6] VS     S Halep [2] 5 1.5%
V Azarenka [12] VS     B Andreescu [8] 5 1.5%
V Azarenka [12] VS     P Kvitova [9] 5 1.5%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
S Kenin [4] VS B Andreescu [8]
M Sakkari [20] VS N Osaka [3]
V Azarenka [12] VS A Sabalenka [7]
3:
E Svitolina [5] VS N Osaka [3]
Ka Pliskova [6] VS S Williams [10]
A Barty [1] VS Wang Qiang [30]
V Azarenka [12] VS G Muguruza [14]
A Barty [1] VS A Sabalenka [7]
2:
S Kenin [4] VS S Halep [2]
E Mertens [18] VS G Muguruza [14]
E Svitolina [5] VS S Halep [2]
E Mertens [18] VS N Osaka [3]
M Sakkari [20] VS S Williams [10]
E Alexandrova [29] VS G Muguruza [14]
Ka Pliskova [6] VS Zhang Shuai [31]
Ka Pliskova [6] VS N Osaka [3]
Zheng SS VS Zhang Shuai [31]
S Kenin [4] VS G Muguruza [14]
M Sakkari [20] VS G Muguruza [14]
1:
J Brady [22] VS N Osaka [3]
J Brady [22] VS G Muguruza [14]
E Alexandrova [29] VS B Andreescu [8]
N Podoroska VS S Halep [2]
A Kontaveit [21] VS N Osaka [3]
A Barty [1] VS A Kerber [23]
K Kanepi VS B Andreescu [8]
K Muchova [25] VS A Kerber [23]
Zheng SS VS Wang Qiang [30]
B Bencic [11] VS I Swiatek [15]
Ka Pliskova [6] VS I Swiatek [15]
J Ostapenko VS S Williams [10]
E Alexandrova [29] VS P Kvitova [9]
S Stephens VS N Osaka [3]
S Kenin [4] VS A Sabalenka [7]
Ka Pliskova [6] VS A Kerber [23]
M Sakkari [20] VS A Sabalenka [7]
E Alexandrova [29] VS N Osaka [3]
D Collins VS G Muguruza [14]
Ka Pliskova [6] VS G Muguruza [14]
S Kuznetsova VS N Osaka [3]
C Gauff VS N Osaka [3]
S Kenin [4] VS P Kvitova [9]
Ka Pliskova [6] VS P Kvitova [9]
B Bencic [11] VS S Halep [2]
D Collins VS N Osaka [3]
A Barty [1] VS M Kostyuk
K Kanepi VS A Sabalenka [7]
V Azarenka [12] VS Wang Qiang [30]
Winner of 1st Quarter
A Barty [1] 253 78.3%
Ka Pliskova [6] 20 6.2%
E Mertens [18] 14 4.3%
D Collins 9 2.8%
B Bencic [11] 6 1.9%
E Alexandrova [29] 6 1.9%
3:
Zheng SS
A Kontaveit [21]
2:
K Muchova [25]
J Ostapenko
1:
S Kuznetsova
D Saville [W]
A Sasnovich
S Rogers
L Fernandez
Winner of 2nd Quarter
V Azarenka [12] 146 45.2%
S Kenin [4] 80 24.8%
M Sakkari [20] 37 11.5%
E Svitolina [5] 19 5.9%
J Brady [22] 16 5.0%
K Kanepi 13 4.0%
4:
J Konta [13]
3:
C Gauff
S Stephens
1:
Wang YF
N Podoroska
Winner of 3rd Quarter
N Osaka [3] 196 60.7%
G Muguruza [14] 45 13.9%
B Andreescu [8] 36 11.1%
P Kvitova [9] 30 9.3%
Wang Qiang [30] 10 3.1%
4:
A Kerber [23]
1:
T Pironkova [Q]
V Williams
Winner of 4th Quarter
S Williams [10] 155 48.0%
S Halep [2] 98 30.3%
A Sabalenka [7] 32 9.9%
I Swiatek [15] 23 7.1%
Zhang Shuai [31] 8 2.5%
3:
E Rybakina [17]
1:
M Kostyuk
A Riske-Amritraj [24]
V Kudermetova [32]
C Giorgi
Winner of Section 1
A Barty [1] 291 89.3%
E Alexandrova [29] 15 4.6%
A Kontaveit [21] 12 3.7%
4:
Zheng SS
1:
P Martic [16]
D Saville [W]
A Sasnovich
S Rogers
Winner of Section 2
E Mertens [18] 149 46.1%
Ka Pliskova [6] 68 21.1%
D Collins 42 13.0%
B Bencic [11] 35 10.8%
K Muchova [25] 13 4.0%
J Ostapenko 10 3.1%
3:
S Kuznetsova
2:
Zhu L
1:
L Fernandez
Winner of Section 3
S Kenin [4] 180 55.7%
J Brady [22] 68 21.1%
K Kanepi 35 10.8%
J Konta [13] 22 6.8%
N Podoroska 11 3.4%
Wang YF 5 1.5%
1:
K Juvan [Q]
D Vekic [28]
Winner of Section 4
V Azarenka [12] 196 60.7%
M Sakkari [20] 77 23.8%
E Svitolina [5] 38 11.8%
C Gauff 6 1.9%
3:
S Stephens
2:
Y Putintseva [26]
1:
K Mladenovic
0:
J Pegula
Winner of Section 5
B Andreescu [8] 146 45.2%
P Kvitova [9] 144 44.6%
Wang Qiang [30] 18 5.6%
M Vondrousova [19] 6 1.9%
T Pironkova [Q] 6 1.9%
3:
V Williams
0:
Hsieh SW
Winner of Section 6
N Osaka [3] 241 74.6%
G Muguruza [14] 70 21.7%
A Kerber [23] 10 3.1%
2:
A Pavlyuchenkova
Winner of Section 7
S Williams [10] 245 75.9%
A Sabalenka [7] 59 18.3%
Zhang Shuai [31] 11 3.4%
A Riske-Amritraj [24] 5 1.5%
1:
A Cornet
K Boulter
A Potapova
Winner of Section 8
S Halep [2] 216 66.9%
I Swiatek [15] 67 20.7%
E Rybakina [17] 27 8.4%
V Kudermetova [32] 9 2.8%
2:
M Kostyuk
C Giorgi