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Draw Challenges
2024 Madrid Women's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (710 participants)
Champion
I Swiatek [1] 291 41.0%
E Rybakina [4] 231 32.5%
Zheng QW [6] 65 9.2%
A Sabalenka [2] 44 6.2%
D Collins [13] 30 4.2%
E Raducanu [W] 6 0.8%
J Ostapenko [9] 6 0.8%
B Krejcikova [22] 6 0.8%
3:
A Anisimova [W]
C Gauff [3]
2:
M Sakkari [5]
Zhang Shuai
J Paolini [12]
E Navarro [19]
Wang XiY
E Alexandrova [14]
Yuan Yue
S Stephens
A Kalinskaya [24]
1:
L Noskova [29]
V Azarenka [23]
M Keys [18]
D Kasatkina [10]
ML Carle [Q]
C Garcia [21]
M Vondrousova [7]
Winner of Top Half
I Swiatek [1] 540 76.1%
J Ostapenko [9] 79 11.1%
C Gauff [3] 21 3.0%
E Raducanu [W] 17 2.4%
A Anisimova [W] 11 1.5%
S Stephens 7 1.0%
Wang XiY 5 0.7%
M Keys [18] 5 0.7%
4:
E Navarro [19]
M Sakkari [5]
V Kudermetova [17]
V Azarenka [23]
1:
S Cirstea [27]
O Jabeur [8]
L Fernandez [32]
N Osaka
B Haddad Maia [11]
ML Carle [Q]
K Siniakova
E Svitolina [16]
D Shnaider
Winner of Bottom Half
E Rybakina [4] 373 52.5%
A Sabalenka [2] 96 13.5%
Zheng QW [6] 87 12.3%
D Collins [13] 78 11.0%
J Paolini [12] 14 2.0%
M Vondrousova [7] 13 1.8%
D Kasatkina [10] 11 1.5%
B Krejcikova [22] 10 1.4%
E Alexandrova [14] 7 1.0%
A Kalinskaya [24] 6 0.8%
4:
A Pavlyuchenkova [20]
Yuan Yue
3:
Zhang Shuai
2:
C Garcia [21]
1:
Wang XinY
L Noskova [29]
Finalists
I Swiatek [1] VS     E Rybakina [4] 310 43.7%
I Swiatek [1] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 72 10.1%
I Swiatek [1] VS     D Collins [13] 66 9.3%
I Swiatek [1] VS     Zheng QW [6] 41 5.8%
J Ostapenko [9] VS     E Rybakina [4] 40 5.6%
J Ostapenko [9] VS     Zheng QW [6] 18 2.5%
I Swiatek [1] VS     J Paolini [12] 12 1.7%
J Ostapenko [9] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 11 1.5%
I Swiatek [1] VS     M Vondrousova [7] 11 1.5%
I Swiatek [1] VS     D Kasatkina [10] 8 1.1%
C Gauff [3] VS     Zheng QW [6] 8 1.1%
I Swiatek [1] VS     B Krejcikova [22] 7 1.0%
C Gauff [3] VS     E Rybakina [4] 6 0.8%
E Raducanu [W] VS     Zheng QW [6] 5 0.7%
E Raducanu [W] VS     E Rybakina [4] 5 0.7%
J Ostapenko [9] VS     D Collins [13] 5 0.7%
I Swiatek [1] VS     A Kalinskaya [24] 5 0.7%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
A Anisimova [W] VS A Sabalenka [2]
C Gauff [3] VS A Sabalenka [2]
I Swiatek [1] VS E Alexandrova [14]
3:
Wang XiY VS Zheng QW [6]
M Sakkari [5] VS E Rybakina [4]
A Anisimova [W] VS Zheng QW [6]
S Stephens VS E Rybakina [4]
2:
A Anisimova [W] VS D Collins [13]
I Swiatek [1] VS Yuan Yue
Wang XiY VS Zhang Shuai
M Keys [18] VS D Collins [13]
S Stephens VS Zheng QW [6]
E Navarro [19] VS E Rybakina [4]
1:
C Gauff [3] VS B Krejcikova [22]
J Ostapenko [9] VS B Krejcikova [22]
A Anisimova [W] VS E Alexandrova [14]
ML Carle [Q] VS A Pavlyuchenkova [20]
A Anisimova [W] VS E Rybakina [4]
K Siniakova VS Zheng QW [6]
M Keys [18] VS Zheng QW [6]
V Kudermetova [17] VS Zheng QW [6]
J Ostapenko [9] VS D Kasatkina [10]
V Azarenka [23] VS E Rybakina [4]
J Ostapenko [9] VS A Pavlyuchenkova [20]
E Raducanu [W] VS D Collins [13]
V Azarenka [23] VS A Sabalenka [2]
E Svitolina [16] VS C Garcia [21]
D Shnaider VS A Sabalenka [2]
J Ostapenko [9] VS C Garcia [21]
V Kudermetova [17] VS A Sabalenka [2]
V Kudermetova [17] VS A Kalinskaya [24]
S Stephens VS M Vondrousova [7]
V Azarenka [23] VS Zheng QW [6]
C Gauff [3] VS D Kasatkina [10]
S Stephens VS Yuan Yue
M Keys [18] VS A Sabalenka [2]
E Raducanu [W] VS Wang XinY
O Jabeur [8] VS Zheng QW [6]
I Swiatek [1] VS A Pavlyuchenkova [20]
E Raducanu [W] VS E Alexandrova [14]
V Kudermetova [17] VS E Rybakina [4]
L Fernandez [32] VS Zheng QW [6]
S Cirstea [27] VS Zheng QW [6]
N Osaka VS L Noskova [29]
E Navarro [19] VS A Pavlyuchenkova [20]
E Navarro [19] VS J Paolini [12]
M Keys [18] VS J Paolini [12]
I Swiatek [1] VS Zhang Shuai
E Raducanu [W] VS M Vondrousova [7]
M Sakkari [5] VS E Alexandrova [14]
E Raducanu [W] VS A Sabalenka [2]
E Raducanu [W] VS D Kasatkina [10]
J Ostapenko [9] VS Yuan Yue
B Haddad Maia [11] VS E Rybakina [4]
V Azarenka [23] VS D Collins [13]
E Raducanu [W] VS B Krejcikova [22]
C Gauff [3] VS D Collins [13]
Winner of 1st Quarter
I Swiatek [1] 641 90.3%
V Azarenka [23] 15 2.1%
S Stephens 13 1.8%
Wang XiY 10 1.4%
E Navarro [19] 8 1.1%
M Sakkari [5] 7 1.0%
4:
E Svitolina [16]
3:
S Cirstea [27]
B Haddad Maia [11]
2:
C Wozniacki [W]
K Siniakova
1:
D Vekic
E Mertens [28]
Winner of 2nd Quarter
C Gauff [3] 306 43.1%
E Raducanu [W] 125 17.6%
J Ostapenko [9] 112 15.8%
A Anisimova [W] 29 4.1%
V Kudermetova [17] 28 3.9%
M Keys [18] 23 3.2%
O Jabeur [8] 23 3.2%
L Fernandez [32] 13 1.8%
N Osaka 12 1.7%
A Potapova 11 1.5%
D Yastremska [31] 11 1.5%
P Badosa 6 0.8%
L Samsonova [15] 6 0.8%
3:
ML Carle [Q]
1:
AK Schmiedlova
D Shnaider
Winner of 3rd Quarter
E Rybakina [4] 488 68.7%
Zheng QW [6] 124 17.5%
D Kasatkina [10] 30 4.2%
E Alexandrova [14] 28 3.9%
A Kalinskaya [24] 19 2.7%
A Pavlyuchenkova [20] 12 1.7%
4:
Yuan Yue
3:
A Kalinina [30]
2:
M Kostyuk [25]
Winner of 4th Quarter
A Sabalenka [2] 287 40.4%
D Collins [13] 229 32.3%
J Paolini [12] 74 10.4%
M Vondrousova [7] 56 7.9%
B Krejcikova [22] 23 3.2%
L Noskova [29] 13 1.8%
Wang XinY 11 1.5%
C Garcia [21] 9 1.3%
4:
Zhu L
3:
Zhang Shuai
1:
M Andreeva
Winner of Section 1
I Swiatek [1] 664 93.5%
V Azarenka [23] 19 2.7%
E Svitolina [16] 13 1.8%
Wang XiY 11 1.5%
3:
S Cirstea [27]
Winner of Section 2
M Sakkari [5] 301 42.5%
E Navarro [19] 152 21.4%
S Stephens 144 20.3%
B Haddad Maia [11] 49 6.9%
C Wozniacki [W] 17 2.4%
M Trevisan 12 1.7%
D Vekic 12 1.7%
E Mertens [28] 9 1.3%
K Siniakova 8 1.1%
4:
N Podoroska [A]
1:
L Siegemund [Q]
Winner of Section 3
C Gauff [3] 503 70.9%
M Keys [18] 60 8.5%
A Anisimova [W] 59 8.3%
L Samsonova [15] 34 4.8%
N Osaka 27 3.8%
D Yastremska [31] 24 3.4%
1:
IC Begu
B Fruhvirtova [W]
Winner of Section 4
E Raducanu [W] 265 37.3%
J Ostapenko [9] 221 31.1%
O Jabeur [8] 69 9.7%
V Kudermetova [17] 61 8.6%
L Fernandez [32] 39 5.5%
A Potapova 29 4.1%
P Badosa 12 1.7%
S Kenin 5 0.7%
4:
ML Carle [Q]
3:
D Shnaider
2:
AK Schmiedlova
Winner of Section 5
Zheng QW [6] 469 66.1%
D Kasatkina [10] 126 17.7%
A Pavlyuchenkova [20] 61 8.6%
A Kalinina [30] 26 3.7%
Yuan Yue 16 2.3%
Y Putintseva 7 1.0%
3:
C Dolehide
2:
Bai ZX [L]
Winner of Section 6
E Rybakina [4] 563 79.3%
A Kalinskaya [24] 71 10.0%
E Alexandrova [14] 71 10.0%
M Kostyuk [25] 5 0.7%
Winner of Section 7
J Paolini [12] 280 39.4%
M Vondrousova [7] 234 33.0%
L Noskova [29] 68 9.6%
C Garcia [21] 39 5.5%
M Andreeva 37 5.2%
Wang XinY 34 4.8%
Zhang Shuai 9 1.3%
Zhu L 8 1.1%
1:
V Tomova
Winner of Section 8
A Sabalenka [2] 355 50.0%
D Collins [13] 313 44.1%
B Krejcikova [22] 41 5.8%
1:
K Boulter [26]