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Draw Challenges
2024 Madrid Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (492 participants)
Champion
C Alcaraz [2] 190 38.9%
J Sinner [1] 164 33.6%
A Zverev [4] 47 9.6%
C Ruud [5] 27 5.5%
S Tsitsipas [6] 20 4.1%
D Medvedev [3] 11 2.3%
G Dimitrov [9] 6 1.2%
H Rune [11] 5 1.0%
4:
Zhang ZZ
2:
U Humbert [13]
T Fritz [12]
R Nadal [P]
H Hurkacz [8]
1:
A Rublev [7]
Shang JC [W]
A de Minaur [10]
JL Struff [23]
B Coric
T Machac
Winner of Top Half
J Sinner [1] 292 59.8%
S Tsitsipas [6] 80 16.4%
C Ruud [5] 65 13.3%
D Medvedev [3] 24 4.9%
G Dimitrov [9] 12 2.5%
R Nadal [P] 5 1.0%
Zhang ZZ 5 1.0%
2:
A de Minaur [10]
B Shelton [14]
1:
T Machac
0:
F Auger-Aliassime
Winner of Bottom Half
C Alcaraz [2] 298 61.2%
A Zverev [4] 135 27.7%
H Rune [11] 17 3.5%
H Hurkacz [8] 8 1.6%
JL Struff [23] 7 1.4%
T Fritz [12] 5 1.0%
4:
Shang JC [W]
3:
U Humbert [13]
2:
A Rublev [7]
T Paul [15]
B Coric
1:
TM Etcheverry [26]
L Musetti [28]
F Marozsan
A Davidovich Fokina [27]
Finalists
J Sinner [1] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 201 41.3%
J Sinner [1] VS     A Zverev [4] 72 14.8%
S Tsitsipas [6] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 42 8.6%
C Ruud [5] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 35 7.2%
S Tsitsipas [6] VS     A Zverev [4] 30 6.2%
C Ruud [5] VS     A Zverev [4] 22 4.5%
D Medvedev [3] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 11 2.3%
J Sinner [1] VS     H Rune [11] 8 1.6%
D Medvedev [3] VS     A Zverev [4] 6 1.2%
C Ruud [5] VS     H Rune [11] 5 1.0%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
Zhang ZZ VS Shang JC [W]
G Dimitrov [9] VS C Alcaraz [2]
3:
J Sinner [1] VS H Hurkacz [8]
S Tsitsipas [6] VS H Rune [11]
G Dimitrov [9] VS A Zverev [4]
2:
J Sinner [1] VS JL Struff [23]
C Ruud [5] VS JL Struff [23]
D Medvedev [3] VS H Hurkacz [8]
S Tsitsipas [6] VS U Humbert [13]
R Nadal [P] VS C Alcaraz [2]
G Dimitrov [9] VS T Fritz [12]
D Medvedev [3] VS B Coric
1:
T Machac VS C Alcaraz [2]
J Sinner [1] VS U Humbert [13]
S Tsitsipas [6] VS L Musetti [28]
Zhang ZZ VS H Hurkacz [8]
D Medvedev [3] VS A Rublev [7]
R Nadal [P] VS H Hurkacz [8]
J Sinner [1] VS F Marozsan
G Dimitrov [9] VS JL Struff [23]
C Ruud [5] VS A Davidovich Fokina [27]
R Nadal [P] VS A Zverev [4]
J Sinner [1] VS TM Etcheverry [26]
G Dimitrov [9] VS H Rune [11]
B Shelton [14] VS C Alcaraz [2]
S Tsitsipas [6] VS JL Struff [23]
A de Minaur [10] VS T Fritz [12]
J Sinner [1] VS T Paul [15]
A de Minaur [10] VS C Alcaraz [2]
S Tsitsipas [6] VS H Hurkacz [8]
D Medvedev [3] VS T Fritz [12]
G Dimitrov [9] VS T Paul [15]
J Sinner [1] VS A Rublev [7]
D Medvedev [3] VS JL Struff [23]
R Nadal [P] VS T Fritz [12]
B Shelton [14] VS A Zverev [4]
0:
F Auger-Aliassime VS A Rublev [7]
Winner of 1st Quarter
J Sinner [1] 349 71.5%
C Ruud [5] 107 21.9%
G Dimitrov [9] 24 4.9%
Zhang ZZ 5 1.0%
2:
N Jarry [22]
1:
K Khachanov [16]
0:
F Auger-Aliassime
Winner of 2nd Quarter
S Tsitsipas [6] 312 63.9%
D Medvedev [3] 110 22.5%
A de Minaur [10] 27 5.5%
R Nadal [P] 15 3.1%
B Shelton [14] 12 2.5%
4:
M Arnaldi
2:
J Lehecka [30]
S Korda [25]
T Machac
1:
D Lajovic
F Tiafoe [20]
Winner of 3rd Quarter
A Zverev [4] 399 81.9%
H Hurkacz [8] 31 6.4%
T Fritz [12] 14 2.9%
F Marozsan 9 1.8%
T Paul [15] 8 1.6%
A Fils [31] 6 1.2%
S Baez [18] 6 1.2%
4:
B Coric
3:
TM Etcheverry [26]
G Monfils
2:
F Cerundolo [21]
1:
J Draper
A Karatsev
Winner of 4th Quarter
C Alcaraz [2] 383 78.5%
H Rune [11] 41 8.4%
JL Struff [23] 21 4.3%
U Humbert [13] 13 2.7%
A Rublev [7] 10 2.0%
L Musetti [28] 8 1.6%
Shang JC [W] 7 1.4%
3:
A Davidovich Fokina [27]
1:
M Navone
T Griekspoor [24]
Winner of Section 1
J Sinner [1] 476 96.7%
K Khachanov [16] 10 2.0%
N Jarry [22] 6 1.2%
Winner of Section 2
C Ruud [5] 341 69.3%
G Dimitrov [9] 115 23.4%
Zhang ZZ 27 5.5%
4:
C Norrie [29]
3:
J Fonseca [W]
1:
F Auger-Aliassime
J Mensik
Winner of Section 3
D Medvedev [3] 349 70.9%
B Shelton [14] 62 12.6%
S Korda [25] 41 8.3%
T Machac 18 3.7%
M Arnaldi 12 2.4%
A Bublik [17] 7 1.4%
1:
E Ruusuvuori
D Koepfer
R Carballes Baena
Winner of Section 4
S Tsitsipas [6] 399 81.4%
A de Minaur [10] 55 11.2%
R Nadal [P] 26 5.3%
J Lehecka [30] 5 1.0%
3:
F Tiafoe [20]
2:
D Lajovic
Winner of Section 5
H Hurkacz [8] 246 50.2%
T Fritz [12] 103 21.0%
S Baez [18] 50 10.2%
A Fils [31] 48 9.8%
G Monfils 29 5.9%
J Draper 10 2.0%
4:
D Altmaier
Winner of Section 6
A Zverev [4] 428 87.5%
T Paul [15] 25 5.1%
F Marozsan 14 2.9%
TM Etcheverry [26] 12 2.5%
B Coric 7 1.4%
2:
F Cerundolo [21]
1:
A Karatsev
Winner of Section 7
H Rune [11] 292 59.6%
A Rublev [7] 96 19.6%
Shang JC [W] 44 9.0%
A Davidovich Fokina [27] 39 8.0%
M Navone 9 1.8%
A Popyrin 6 1.2%
3:
T Griekspoor [24]
1:
A Vukic
Winner of Section 8
C Alcaraz [2] 423 86.3%
JL Struff [23] 31 6.3%
U Humbert [13] 19 3.9%
L Musetti [28] 17 3.5%